this post was submitted on 29 Sep 2024
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politics

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[–] [email protected] 13 points 1 month ago (1 children)

If she wanted to be President, mayor of NYC isn't a path that's out of the question. It's one of the only places where the office of the mayor gets a lot of national attention. It can be more prestigious in practice than NY governor.

That said, former NYC mayors haven't exactly done well in runs for the President, either. Rudy ran in the Republican primary in 2008, and his performance was summed up as "noun verb 9/11". Bloomberg tried in the Democratic primary in 2020, but nobody wanted to vote for a stodgy billionaire. I conclude that this would not be a good fit for her if she wanted to be President. This conclusion comes to you from two datapoints, which is the typical level of data to produce strong conclusions in the media.

[–] [email protected] 10 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago)

Mayor of New York seems like a pit trap. I admire the city from afar but any meaningful way of making it better will be met with red tape, corruption, and mob like fuckery.

[–] [email protected] 7 points 1 month ago

I feel like she might go for Senator in 2028.

Outside of Trump, Presidents typically win a state office before going on to President. While AOC could go for governor, I don't see her really going for that role.

[–] [email protected] 9 points 1 month ago

guvnah to start

[–] [email protected] 137 points 1 month ago (2 children)

She has presidential material. that's why conservative media was so quick to try to vilify her.

[–] [email protected] 8 points 1 month ago (1 children)

She better up her time line then. 20-30 years as a conservative punching bag will leave her so entangled in the media machine it will bury her.

[–] [email protected] 2 points 1 month ago

Yup, they were treating her as the reincarnation of Che Guevara since year one. They've been rigging the game specifically against her since before she even got a seat at the table.

[–] [email protected] 17 points 1 month ago

I also assume that's why she's pretending to play ball with Harris. If she continued being an actual progressive the Democrats would never let her get nominated.

[–] [email protected] 36 points 1 month ago (2 children)

I’d LOVE to see her run in 2028.

[–] [email protected] 6 points 1 month ago (4 children)

It's too soon. She's young; we want her to help the progressive cause for years and decades to come. If she were to become president in 2028, she would be retiring after she served, like every other president does, and we would lose her voice.

[–] [email protected] 1 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago)

Let's imagine a best case scenario for Democrats. Let's imagine Trump is defeated in a landslide in November. And instead of reforming their ways, the national Republican party instead takes the path of the Republican party in states like California - continuing to double-down on losing policies. In other words, barring election losses, here is a path I could see for Democratic candidates:
2024: Harris/Walz
2028: Harris/Walz
2032: Walz/AOC
2036: Walz/AOC
2040: AOC/?

Walz is currently 60. If he won in 2032 and 2036, he would be 76 when his second term ended in 2040. That's a perfectly viable age to be president. And a seasoned Walz would balance nicely with a younger AOC. Meanwhile, AOC will be 50 in 2040, still quite young by presidential standards. And by then, she would have 8 years as VP to shake off the sense that she is too young and inexperienced.

This assumes Dems manage to win in 2024, 2028, 2032, and 2036. And that would be quite unusual by historical standards. However, considering the Republicans' unprecedented efforts to destroy democracy, it's not impossible. As long as they continue to champion destroying democracy, sane people, regardless of political beliefs, will recognize that they simply cannot be allowed into power until they reform their ways.

However, If there is a loss prior to 2040, I would just move AOC to the forefront. Does Harris/Walz win in 2024 and then lose in 2028? Assuming we still have real elections at that point, I would put AOC at the top of the ticket in 2032.

[–] [email protected] 6 points 1 month ago (1 children)

Yeah better wait til she got old and lost her best abilities right? 8 years are 8 years no?

[–] [email protected] 2 points 1 month ago (1 children)

Are you kidding me? She's 34. She's got like 30 years left until she's old.

[–] [email protected] 2 points 1 month ago (1 children)
[–] [email protected] 1 points 1 month ago (1 children)

I have already explained that the reason to wait is so that she can be in politics longer and thus make a bigger impact.

[–] [email protected] 1 points 1 month ago

Well I personally do not know how the future will turn out, so I think the best person for the best job right now makes the most sense.

[–] [email protected] 33 points 1 month ago (2 children)

she would be retiring after she served, like every other president does, and we would lose her voice.

That's not a rule, you know. John Quincy Adams served in the House after being President, Andrew Johnson became a Senator, and Taft got appointed to the SCOTUS.

[–] [email protected] -1 points 1 month ago (1 children)

I know, but it's precedent. And I'm sure the secret service wouldn't love her continuing to be active in politics.

[–] [email protected] 3 points 1 month ago

I don’t think the secret service gets an opinion on what former presidents do for work

[–] [email protected] -1 points 1 month ago (1 children)

I don’t know about Quincy adams, but the other two do not represent what I want more of in American politics

[–] [email protected] 12 points 1 month ago (2 children)

The point is that retiring from open politics is a choice, not a requirement.

[–] [email protected] -2 points 1 month ago (1 children)

My point is that it’s too much to ask of her to be president for eight years and then continue nobly serving her country.

The people who still want to be in politics after that aren’t doing it for good reasons.

[–] [email protected] 1 points 1 month ago (1 children)

I was with you on the first sentence.

[–] [email protected] 1 points 1 month ago (1 children)

…but you think Andrew Jackson and Taft were doing what was best for the country?

[–] [email protected] 1 points 1 month ago (1 children)

What? Your comment was about it being a lot to ask of AOC.

[–] [email protected] 1 points 1 month ago

Yes, because people don’t want to do that unless there’s a corrupt reason for it, like with Taft and Jackson. It would be way too much to ask of a non corrupt person.

[–] [email protected] 1 points 1 month ago

Exactly. I mean just look at how a former President conducted the dismissal of bipartisan border legislation!

[–] [email protected] -1 points 1 month ago

Fair point.

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