this post was submitted on 07 May 2025
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(page 2) 35 comments
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[–] [email protected] 14 points 5 days ago (1 children)

Hey they can always do a war again to get that sweet Keynesian macro economics flowing.

[–] [email protected] 10 points 5 days ago* (last edited 5 days ago) (1 children)

If there is a WWIII, I doubt America will be left alone as much as it was the last two times, especially since that led to America becoming the economic powerhouse it became.

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[–] [email protected] 27 points 5 days ago (1 children)

Sure, bad things have happened every time we’ve tried tariffs.

But we have to do something to balance the budget!

The federal government has achieved fiscal balance (even surpluses) in just seven periods since 1776, bringing in enough revenue to cover all of its spending during 1817-21, 1823-36, 1852-57, 1867-73, 1880-93, 1920-30 and 1998-2001. We have also experienced six depressions. They began in 1819, 1837, 1857, 1873, 1893 and 1929.

Uhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhh…

[–] [email protected] 22 points 5 days ago (2 children)

So old Billy Clinton was the only president to balance the budget without causing a depression? Interesting.

[–] [email protected] 19 points 5 days ago (3 children)

The one exception occurred in the late 1990s and early 2000s, when the dot-com and housing bubbles fueled a consumption binge that delayed the harmful effects of the Clinton surpluses until the Great Recession of 2007-09.

[–] [email protected] 15 points 5 days ago

Heh, you can't primarily blame Clinton for the thing that W had 8 years to fix. Have you watched The Big Short?

[–] [email protected] 8 points 5 days ago (1 children)

Oh, no problem then! The AI bubble will carry us through far enough until it all comes crashing down in... I want to say 2027?

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[–] [email protected] 16 points 5 days ago

See, this kind of bullshit is what actually gives some credibility to the various 'cyclical' or 'generation based' models of history.

Such models are often either unjustifiably bold/definitive/precise in their future predictions, or they are reasonably restrained, but the pop culture version of them neuters all the caveats and nuance.

... But goddamn if there isn't some real merit to the idea of humans never learning from their own history being a consistent theme of human history.

[–] [email protected] 15 points 5 days ago (1 children)

Had to read up on the 1828 tariff that was basically enacted as a giant game of chicken, nobody expected it to pass... then it did.

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tariff_of_Abominations

[–] [email protected] 10 points 5 days ago

Similar to Trump winning? Twice?

I really hate that we can’t collectively learn from our mistakes.

[–] [email protected] 7 points 5 days ago

Always fat, stupid fucks that resemble McNuggets.

[–] [email protected] 126 points 5 days ago* (last edited 5 days ago) (3 children)

Friendly reminder that the rich love recessions. It's their intent to cause one.

That's when they amass greater property and wealth.

Wealth inequality always worsend following recessions.

[–] [email protected] 22 points 5 days ago* (last edited 5 days ago) (12 children)

$s never decrease - they just circulate… if nobody you know has any, and the tv is saying nobody like you has any, someone else has them

(kinda)

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[–] [email protected] 44 points 5 days ago (6 children)

And here I thought The Great Depression started in 1929. I'm not saying tariffs in 1930 didn't make it worse, but they didn't cause it.

[–] [email protected] 1 points 5 days ago

No, you're right. 1929 came before 1930. There's much to unpack on the subject, but Smoot-Hawley did not cause The Depression. Worsened? Maybe, probably? Sure.

[–] [email protected] 25 points 5 days ago (1 children)

That's a misunderstanding of the causes. Now, admittedly there's a debate on this so what I will say is an opinion, but one that shows how the tariffs did cause the great depression.

The problem people have in understanding the great depression is the initial shock isn't the cause so much as the trigger to the cause which is the tariffs.

Had the tariffs not come into play, the stock sell off and subsequent deflation could have been resolved with simple monetary easing, which is what we do today. This would have simply been a recession and we would move on. However, the tariffs following the stock sell off is why it's the great depression and not just a simple recession.

In fairness, monetary easing policy didn't really come into play until after Brenton wood agreement. That said, it would have been the right solution during the onset of the great depression.

So you can't actually say that tariffs didn't cause the great depression as again had it not been for tariffs we would have pulled through.

[–] [email protected] 5 points 5 days ago (1 children)

With that in mind, would monetary easing help us this time after the shock of tarrif-ing the hell out of everything?

[–] [email protected] 13 points 5 days ago* (last edited 5 days ago) (4 children)

No, the tariffs are actively preventing monetary easing. If you were wondering what the news about bond rates and the conflict between Bessent and Powell is about, it's because they can't ease.

At a core easing relies on borrowing money to fix the downturn. Usually, when a downturn happens, interest rates go down because there's less to invest in. If you can't get a 8% return on stocks, you buy bonds until bond returns go below 4% or so. Except, thanks to crazy man tariffs, no one trusts the bonds anymore. So USA can't ease.

I also want to note, this was clearly Bessents original plan. Hurt the economy with tariffs, then do easing and pull more money back into the American Treasury. But oops, no one trusts USA anymore...

*Edit: Lol, god damn this happens fast. Powell is talking about what I'm talking about here literally just now.

https://lemmy.ml/post/29763814?scrollToComments=true

So the inflation he's talking about is why they can't ease. Normally when stocks go down, bonds go up it's caused by deflation. People stop spending money so prices go down and thus, bond rates go down. But we're not seeing deflation, we're seeing inflation, which again is causing the inability to monetarily ease. It's just funny to me we were just talking about this and bam, there's a news article.

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[–] [email protected] 56 points 5 days ago (1 children)

Yeah unregulated capitalist economy did that. Good thing we didn't deregulate the economy since then though.

/s

[–] [email protected] 36 points 5 days ago (3 children)

2008 happened for the exact same reasons as 1929, because some of the protections put in place because of 1929 had been rolled back many years before. It wasn't as deeply bad because (dare I say) the US had a reasonable executive branch very shortly after.

But none of those protections were reimplemented. Credit default swaps are still totally a thing, for example.

[–] [email protected] 12 points 5 days ago

CDS markets are also, currently, right now, freaking the fuck out rofl.

Ive been saying this since Trump announced his tariff / deportation policies before he got elected:

Great Depression 2.0, with nukes and climate change this time!

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[–] [email protected] 150 points 5 days ago (7 children)

If only there were some way to record previous events, and then maybe (just maybe) have people learn this in a structured environment where they are allowed to ask questions. 🧐

[–] [email protected] 3 points 5 days ago

You mean social media?

[–] [email protected] 63 points 5 days ago (2 children)
[–] [email protected] 7 points 5 days ago

Anyone...anyone..

[–] [email protected] 78 points 5 days ago* (last edited 5 days ago) (3 children)

For those that don't get the joke here...

This is an iconic scene that is intentionally designed to portray a very, very boring lecture from a teacher, which none of the kids want to pay attention to, that they are right to percieve this as boredom-torture.

The motherfucking actual literal topic of the lecture is how the Smoot Hawley tariffs of the 1930s massively worsened the Great Depression.

... god, Damnit.

[–] [email protected] 7 points 5 days ago

I believe that is now called "DEI"

[–] [email protected] 52 points 5 days ago (2 children)

But that would be... an academic pursuit!!! Oh the horror!! Can't have the unwashed masses being all 'edumacated' and questioning authority!

[–] [email protected] 5 points 5 days ago

well obviously! education turns people woke!

[–] [email protected] 10 points 5 days ago (3 children)

The unwashed masses choose to remain unwashed.

[–] [email protected] 2 points 5 days ago

Time to hose them down against their will then. They stink too much!

[–] [email protected] 14 points 5 days ago (1 children)

Yes, a lot of them do. But quite a few others are having their critical thinking skills and understanding of the world deliberately starved by conniving politicians (usually in red states) who want to keep them as dumb as possible.

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