this post was submitted on 16 Mar 2025
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I'm wondering what everyone else thinks is in our future as Canadians?

Do we think Trump is going to be stupid enough to try to invade Canada or redraw border lines?

Will the trade war continue for years or will Trump wuss out like last time?

We we continue to buy US products after they've now screwed us a second time?

I know I'm in the camp that whatever happens, I'm planning on completely excluding the USA from my life as much as possible.

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[–] [email protected] 4 points 2 months ago (1 children)

As an American living in Seattle area. Please invade Washington, so we can succeed it to you and join your fight. The new way of doing things here is to lie things into existence so we have a good shot at a non violent succession. All we have to say is Vancouver North and South are actually part of the same territory and use a sharpie to circle them on a map. Worth a shot at least. Assuming you would have us that is, please take us!

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[–] [email protected] 24 points 2 months ago (4 children)

I'm of the mind that the Orange Imbecile intends to start a war, any war, to justify him staying on as president beyond his second term. If a civil war doesn't happen within 3 months of the start of the next presidential election cycle I fully expect him to attempt to invade us. Whether his military allows it or not is anyone's guess but AFAIK he has already begun emptying the top brass of any dissenters so....

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[–] [email protected] 12 points 2 months ago* (last edited 2 months ago) (1 children)

When everything started on Jan 20 and you could see what was happening in the US. Their regime dismantling the government, Musk, DOGE, and tariffs, and it was hard to believe what was happening. Then, the continued threats to Canada, it was all pretty scary.

Now, 50 something days in, I'm starting to realize they have no plan and no execution, or even no sense to what they're doing. So sure it still feels really unstable and uneasy but less threatening.

Hopefully, the world will economically destroy Musk just on the principal of his actions. Show billionaires they are not immune.

I do think it's possible there eventually will be a military action on Canada. I think the most plausible thing I've heard is that Canada would be easy to invade but nearly impossible to hold. That would be a messy situation for both sides. Nobody will be a winner, so it will come down to desire to go down that road. From what I've been hearing, there is only a very low percentage of people on either side of the border who have support of this action.

In the meantime, I would be happy to see Canada disconnect from America, find new trade partners, and improve our infrastructure. Seems to be what the plans are, so I think we are dealing best we can in the situation we are in.

True north strong and free.

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[–] [email protected] 6 points 2 months ago

I would love to see much closer relations between Canada and the EU, perhaps even a mutual defense agreement.

[–] [email protected] 2 points 2 months ago* (last edited 2 months ago) (2 children)
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[–] [email protected] 30 points 2 months ago (7 children)

We can see from their Russian masters how an American invasion would take.

They’d try to grab and hold strategic areas and resources, while using missiles and aircraft to cripple the economy and infrastructure and spread fear nationwide.

However, we can remember that the US has tried to invade many other countries and they’ve failed every time. And while we may never have the tanks and aircraft to match them in open warfare, even much poorer countries than Canada were able to successfully repel the American forces.

And in this scenario we’d have a massive untamed border to use to make counter strikes, and would likely get significant military support from allies around the world and in the US as well.

So it would be monumentally devastating on both sides. It would be a catastrophically stupid endeavour. Which doesn’t rule it out, they have extremely stupid people in charge.

But personally I believe the US would descend into civil war before this happens, with “blue” states having suppressed voting rights trying to secede.

[–] [email protected] 12 points 2 months ago* (last edited 2 months ago) (4 children)

The strategic situation favors the US immensely, with all our cities situated directly on the border. There's basically no way to mount any kind of serious defence of Canada. Every city, almost every strategically valuable location, would be lost in days.

But our nation is superbly suited to guerilla warfare, with our vast forests providing excellent cover against aerial and satellite observation, and the CAF is superbly good at fighting against superior numbers and firepower because they train around the assumption that they will be fighting an enemy that outclasses them in equipment and numbers. Manuever warfare, hit and run strikes and defeat in detail are core to CAF tactics, and they know how to fight in ways that maximize their impact while minimizing losses.

They're also very, very good at what they do. Canadians routinely demolish Americans in wargames and training operations. Our training standards are much higher and it bears results. This isn't much help against the sheer scale of the American military; a holding action like the one Ukraine is putting up against Russia would be functionally impossible. But a guerilla war would make the Americans pay a heavy toll for every day they tried to remain here.

The US would control the cities, but all of those strategic resources that Trump wants are deeper in the interior and much more vulnerable to hit and run attacks by a determined Canadian military presence, while ordinary resistance fighters would be able to launch terror strikes against vulnerable targets all across the continental US. They would have to place security forces everywhere, while we can choose to strike anywhere. Just the financial and political weight of protecting every state capitol, every senators home, every factory, every distribution centre, every power plant... Hell, every mall and school if we want to go that far... Would be absolutely crushing. How long would the American people put up with going through checkpoints to get to work, being pulled over and searched my soldiers to get to the grocery store, all while watching bombs blow up in their neighbourhoods and their tax dollars get pissed away on the world's largest and most expensive national security operation? America is swimming in debt and piling on more to give tax breaks to billionaires, and a right wing government has no way to embrace the kind of radical economic thinking that could try to solve those problems. How long could they even sustain an occupation for?

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[–] [email protected] 11 points 2 months ago (1 children)

We need to take cues from Ukraine and work on a drone airforce and navy.

Get millions of the things.

We have the robotics capability to lead the world in this.

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[–] [email protected] 18 points 2 months ago* (last edited 2 months ago) (6 children)

But personally I believe the US would descend into civil war before this happens

Which doesn’t mean we shouldn’t prepare for this possibility, starting yesterday.

We can use the money we were pissing away on F35s to create a national corps, who would be trained in the types of guerrilla warfare we’d need in this scenario. And be cross-trained to respond to climate emergencies such as floods and hurricanes and fires. And help build out infrastructure to shore up our east-west corridors and access to the north.

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[–] [email protected] 15 points 2 months ago

Oh Trump will absolutely try to redraw the borderline. His handy reality denying sharpie will come out again.

[–] [email protected] 6 points 2 months ago

Canada should fund US resistance groups. Fuck waiting these four years. The world will be unfamiliar and unwelcoming.

[–] [email protected] 35 points 2 months ago (3 children)

I do not believe the US will invade, at least not for quite a while. It would be economic suicide and is very unpopular even amongst Trump's own voter base. Will he in the future? Maybe, and we absolutely should plan for that. Canada needs a proper military and our forces can no longer exist as just an arm of the US military.

I think what happens next will largely depend on our government(s) going forward. Trump's temper, imperial ambitions, greed, and pride all ride on a constant knife-edge and dealing with him requires a skilled and smooth hand. We can further our ties with the US and essentially become a vassal territory, or we can seek new allies and deals elsewhere which seems to be the route we are taking at present.

Canadians need to get used to the new reality that we now share a border with a fascist dictatorship lead by a screaming near-80 year old toddler and an army of yes men. I think we are going to end up a lot like Finland in that living under the constant threat of invasion is an aspect of daily life. The bear hasn't struck yet but one day it will and every person needs to be ready and know how to respond.

Securing our democracy and economy is paramount. The Americans will be attacking our elections, our media, and our protected industries. We have been doing a good job at getting people to stop buying US products but we need to get them off American social media and news sites too - it is literally a matter of national security.

[–] [email protected] 9 points 2 months ago (1 children)

This is a good assessment. For some added context, the idea of annexing Canada is astonishingly unpopular in the US. Even among Republican voters, only 25% approve. No one in the White House understands where this insanity is coming from or why, no one in the Republican party is in favour of it. It's basically just Trump and Navarro.

So while it is absolutely insane that the possibility of a US invasion exists, there's no real likelihood to it. Russians see annexing Ukraine as a good and right thing to do. They don't generally want Ukrainians to suffer - they see them as fellow Russians - but they see annexation as in their best interests. There's no such appetite in the US. The American people have zero interest in a senseless war against an ally.

But Trump is largely unchecked, and he may try anyway, no matter how much the attempt would destabilize his own nation. That's a risk we have to prepare for.

Either way, our days of treating the US as a reliable ally are over. Canadian soldiers bled and died for them in Korea and Afghanistan, and fought shoulder to shoulder with them in both world wars and multiple peacekeeping operations, and this is the thanks we get? Fuck that, and fuck every American that allowed this to happen.

[–] [email protected] 12 points 2 months ago (2 children)

You say no-one is in favor of it, but notice how none of the republicans running the show are so much as shushing him.

As an American, let me assure you that is a very bad sign. It means they either think they can control him—which they can’t—or they do approve for whatever reason and just plan to make him the fall guy so they can have plausible deniability.

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[–] [email protected] 14 points 2 months ago

Next up for Canada and America is Canada and Europe... we'll certainly rebuild a trade relationship over time but the instability of the American electoral system has been a much needed wakeup call to reduce dependence on our Southern neighbors.

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