this post was submitted on 16 Mar 2025
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This is a good assessment. For some added context, the idea of annexing Canada is astonishingly unpopular in the US. Even among Republican voters, only 25% approve. No one in the White House understands where this insanity is coming from or why, no one in the Republican party is in favour of it. It's basically just Trump and Navarro.
So while it is absolutely insane that the possibility of a US invasion exists, there's no real likelihood to it. Russians see annexing Ukraine as a good and right thing to do. They don't generally want Ukrainians to suffer - they see them as fellow Russians - but they see annexation as in their best interests. There's no such appetite in the US. The American people have zero interest in a senseless war against an ally.
But Trump is largely unchecked, and he may try anyway, no matter how much the attempt would destabilize his own nation. That's a risk we have to prepare for.
Either way, our days of treating the US as a reliable ally are over. Canadian soldiers bled and died for them in Korea and Afghanistan, and fought shoulder to shoulder with them in both world wars and multiple peacekeeping operations, and this is the thanks we get? Fuck that, and fuck every American that allowed this to happen.
You say no-one is in favor of it, but notice how none of the republicans running the show are so much as shushing him.
As an American, let me assure you that is a very bad sign. It means they either think they can control him—which they can’t—or they do approve for whatever reason and just plan to make him the fall guy so they can have plausible deniability.
For now I suspect they're all assuming it's just bluster. The general tenor of what's coming out of the white house seems to suggest that they're basically treating the president like an angry toddler, letting him get it out of his system and hoping he calms down before they actually have to roll their sleeves up and take his toys away.
But there's also the fact that his cult is a very dangerous weapon that he eagerly points at anyone who do much as disagrees with him. Basically the party hates everything about this, because it's bad for business and Republicans hate anything that's bad for business, but no one wants to take the heat for saying so. So why not just wait and hope it all blows over when he gives up or gets distracted, like he always does. Trump has little stamina for things that don't immediately go his way so they're probably all banking on him finding a way to bail on this before long.