Canada

The US will not invade Canada. At some point, it would require political integration. It would be a generation after that before the Republicans won an election.

There are 40 million people in Canada and more land area than the entire US. At least 75% of Canadians would vote Democrat and that is before the bitterness of an invasion. Even as a single state Canada would swing the House and every President. As multiple states, Canada would swing the Senate. Think of the Supreme Court that would be appointed. The GOP would be completely locked out.

Just allowing Canadians already in the US to vote would have cost the Republicans every presidential race since Reagan.

For the above reasons alone, somebody will stop Trump from pulling the trigger. The US will not invade Canada. Even if they did, they would give it back.

That said, Trump may wage an unbelievably destructive trade war. And the end game for that may be for Canada to submit to total subservience to the US.

We are in a negotiation. The threat of war is just part of that. We hold some decent cards. By appeasing Trump, we start to lose cards. We can get more cards by aligning with the rest of the world both economically, militarily, and socially as fast as possible. The good news is, the world seems to be there for it.

I think we’ll all get on just fine. This is like a toddler tantrum. Just need to cry it out in the corner a bit.

EU membership, please!!

I've started listening to the audiobook Canada alone, and so far it's very prescient of what's happening. Worth a read / listen.

I wish we could have Civil War 2: The GOP Are Traitors. Instead we get this schizophrenic bullshit.

ONAN interdependence

I think the Canadian national conversation has shifted. Sure, many business will need to or choose to still trade with the US, no matter what craziness starts or stops during or after the Trump administration. But we won't take the US for granted as a stable trading partner anymore.

The trade war will come on and off over his term, whenever Trump wants to take the media off of a different problem he caused.

A real war is very unlikely, not impossible, but it depends on Trump and how competent Trump's yes men are at enacting his fanciful ideas. I'd prepared for the possibility between 2016-2020, Trump would drop a nuke, and that didn't happen at least. But just the same, once again as Canadians we should be prepared for the worst, and work with whatever we have as a nation. They can take a lot from us by force, but they will never take away our solidarity and our sovereignty without us voluntarily giving it up.

I would view it as an escalation if the govt starts warming us up to getting rid of US media, content and platforms. We shouldn’t be mass importing their media, news, worldview as much as we do normally but now they are invaders - digital boycott is a real thing.

Canada needs to dedicate its 3.6% of our gdp on the military while we build more town infrastructure further northward to give ourselves more land to retreat to.

Best case scenario Ukraine gets all that surplus equipment and we have more people spread out across the country.

https://malcolmnance.substack.com/p/urgent-warning-trump-is-planning

Yes. Canada and Groenland WILL be invaded. That will trigger a major civil war on US. Canada and Groenland people will be treated like second class citizens and live in poverty. All ressources will be steal by US. In the end, after decades of insurrection, US will be torn apart and broken economically and militarily. That will be the greatest opportunity for China and Russia to take over the west. Other question ?