Trump will die and a new religious movement declaring him to be divine will gain a significant foothold among people who call themselves Christians in the US.
this post was submitted on 10 Mar 2025
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Major roadblocks to piracy and porn in the US. Piracy will never be eliminated, but the barrier to entry will become too difficult for most folks. I've subsequently been hoarding all of the media I can get my hands on in case this happens - I refuse to pay for 20 streaming services just to watch movies and TV.
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Wars over water in North America
The surveillance of chats and the prohibition of encryption in many Western countries must have a purpose. It mostly makes sense if democracy is dismantled.
Since the West doesn't show signs of sharing resources voluntarily, my prediction is that the West is willing to fight a nuclear war to preserve its lead which cannot happen in a democracy.
Without that war, Asia will take over as the center of commerce and innovation. The brightest will move there, which means that the remaining people in the West have to be innovative without the main ingredience for innovation.
If China escalates to cause war in Asia when other countries are sufficiently pissed off by them trying to steal territory and harass others non-stop, then that plus a potential Chinese real estate market collapse could cause pretty serious problems in the region.
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Since I'm not feeling very optimistic, and given that everything I predicted today was the exact opposite, I'll say this.
- Campi Flegrei explodes, creating a noise louder than Krakatoa.
- Santorini sinks into the ocean.
- Nuclear war.
- Groundwater runs out all over the world.
- A massive solar emission hits earth, throwing us back into the Stone Age.
Doing my duty, to protect the world by predicting things, so the exact opposite happens 🍺.
Just to cover all the bases, some extra points.
- AI superintelligence is evil.
- A gamma-ray burst hits earth.
- Aliens are evil.
- Vacuum decay is possible and something accidentally triggers it.
- Nobody likes me romantically.
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Famine around the world. Global political instability + climate change + economic downturn = food scarcity.
A high profile political assassination in the US or Europe.
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Significantly populated areas of the developed world are going to be deemed inhospitable due to climate change
Parts of the American South are getting close, but are holding on as long as their power grids do.
That said, a good chunk of Texas won’t remain that way forever.
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Humanity globally shifts to an economic system of guarantees instead of our current extortional approach as we aknowledge we are already in a post scarcity world and work to fix distribution chains of human needs.
Either that or the corporate elites start a literal apocalypse so they don't have to work a fucking job like the rest of us.
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It will take more than 10 yrs to repair the damage being done to our gov.
I wonder if we'll ever see amendments to the constitution, it has been a long time. I'd like to see corporations declared to not have rights as if they were citizens.
Prediction: the next amendment they try is getting rid of the term limits amendment…
You'd be right, goddammit
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The US falls behind more countries in average lifespan, education and avg income.
Economical collapse in multiple countries, including the US. Like Great Depression II.
One or more leading countries in the world to recognize some form of AI as sentient.
WILL it be sentient? Or what do you suppose will be the development that causes us to go, "holy shit, it's real this time!"?
I think they're just saying they'll incorrectly consider it sentient because we're always lead by morons, it seems.
People are already pretending ChatGPT is their girlfriend.
People are already treating LLMs like omnipotent beings.
Marketing teams can get idiots to beleive anything.
This year will be declared the year of the linux desktop.
And so will the year after, and the one after…
Preperations for the 2038 bug (similar te the Y2K bug) start too late about 2035
Linux Desktop gets stronger, even if its slow
I may or may not manage to finish hosting Nextcloud mostly save on the internet
Rise in suicide rates
fall of fanservice isekai (pls)
Rise of the fediverse (could be slow)
What 2038 bug? Why would it cause a bug?
Computers have to store time somewhere and the unix timestamp needs on 19 january 2038 more storage than the commonly used data type offers. Then it returns to the first possible date possible -> 13 December 1901
Imagine wanting to make an appointment for the 20 jan 2038 and then it says "could not make an appointment on 14 dec 1901"
it would be funny or annoying for us but be a big problem in bank/transaction systems
Some systems are prepared but the problems are systems that cant be updated
Just curious as a casual PC gamer. What would make the average person care enough to switch to Linux?
Gaming performance. And not getting f-ed up by Windows again, and again, and again.
Also as a casual pc gamer, here is my take.
I just started getting into github projects, and have learned a few things. Like windows and linux can be ran on the same operating system (called wsl) for free and already built in windows. It is pretty useful for developer projects. The point being, there is a good chunk of gamers that are tech savy. Learning linux is not that hard especially with no barriers to entry.
But MAINLY, because people are tired of changing operating systems. https://store.steampowered.com/hwsurvey
Windows 10 has INCREASED in popularity more than windows 11 compared to last year for steam users. Since Windows 10 will be officially discontinued in a year, that is actually bonkers. This shows that people (gamers) are getting tired of making unnecessary changes/updates to things that aren't broken and work fine.
Linux is a free option for that. BUT.... until you can play all steam game son linux, the switch won't happen. The linux popularity will only increase once games can be run on it. Then, the gamers will teach their families how to use linux, which won't be hard, because distros like Ubuntu are already user friendly (Macs are also based off linux as well). It has desktop, file exploration, browsers, etc.
Since most people just use their computers for work, email, social media, streaming, etc., there is actually no reason for people not to use linux really. The only reason they haven't is because they are not per-installed on computers and windows is already 'free'.
Thank makes sense. It pissed me off a lot when I was playing Bannerlord and upgraded to windows 11 only to have the game freeze frame every frequently when it never happened on windows 10. Also some of the UI options are worse.
Depends on the "average" person You are allowed to stop reading at any point!
generally:
- if one only uses the browser anyway why not use an os that is easy to install, gets updates for like forever, can run on a potato and just works
- it supports more hardware (especially that it does not require tpm) making it cheaper when choosing used hardware + is more resource efficient
- It has no ads build in
- being able to drag games fullscreen from one desktop to another with windows key* pressed and mouse drag (at least arch + plasma)
- users being able to choose their own difficulty from easy and less flexible (mint) to specific (bazzite, looks like a games console but for steam) to advanced (arch) and further
- no account needed to use it (+ no nag screens except maybe on install but way less than windows)
- able to be installed on a USB stick and be used on every pc that lets you boot from it, can even be tested without install
- Installing software is much easier and safer as one does not need to visit some website to download an exe but only needs to open the program store or look up the name and then simply copy paste something in the console and press enter
- a lot can be updated at once, not only the system but programs as well with one simple command (or the update button in discover or something like that)
*dont really know how else to call it XD
specific: gamer -> proton works wonderful to emulate win games that have no intrusive anticheat (protondb is your friend) office -> open office or if they want a more ms office thing Softmaker (but its paid & some things are not supported, has no subscription options tho) artist -> gimp and krita are your friends
cons (to be a bit fair):
- some things (like how to download programs) can be massively inconsistent between platforms (glancing at ubuntu)
- its not windows and will never be so it can be challenging to adapt (like using the console or installing programs)
- MS office is not native to linux and needs compatibility layers (like proton or wine) or even a VM
- could be a hassle for students or workers where MS software is required
Sorry for the dump, i am not sure if i properly answered your question or you got what you wanted to know
Yeah you did. Thank you for the response and indepth analysis.