Here are a few things to keep you hopeful despite how awful it has gotten:
- The trends are not in favour of the G7 or NATO, at best they can delay the inevitable.
- Turkiye is increasingly asserting itself. To think there was a time when it wasn't even allowed to make ammunition. See: TAI TF Kaan.
- Yemen forced the US into a ceasefire.
- Russia surmounted what was supposed to be unsurmountable sanctions, its economy has out grown the US's and the UK's in 2024.
- More science and technology research is happening outside of the US, specifically in China.
- Israel has never been more unhinged and honest about its intentions. In the past they would deny the Nakba, now they openly call for a Second Nakba. In the past they would claim that all they want is to live in peace and to defend themselves from threats, now they are openly threatening Qatar and Egypt.
- The US and Israel are acting violently and irrationally -regardless of party- because they know they are running out of time.
Of course none of this make the genocide in Gaza anymore bearable, and it is depressing that the world is watching and no one is trying to stop it. But the system -rule based order- that allows it is being weakened even if at a slower pace than we would like.