I think Democrats were already favored to win the House in 2024 before the Republican exits. And Republicans are favored to win the Senate given how many seats Democrats are defending in red and red-leaning states.
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Fun fact: every newborn since the year 2000 has a 3%-5% chance of being a GOP speaker of the house one day. My niece just turned 11 and she's been speaker of the house twice, and hopes to be minority whip later this fall!
I mean GOP money is being sucked up by their golden baby, so it's not a surprise for selfish representatives to take what they can and leave.
Either that, or they're afraid of another Jan 6 (because that's not unlikely to happen whether he wins or loses), and thus afraid that they're gonna get caught in the crossfire on that one (potentially literally).
Grifters run when the grift dries up
Hakeem Jeffries in a week: How the fuck did this happen? We were trolling by nominating me every time.
So the rats are abandoning the ship
I'm no Constitutional scholar, but since the GOP is so racked with infighting, could the Dems call for a new Speaker (or use MTG's recent proposal) and elect one of their own even before they have the majority? It would only take one or two disgruntled Republicans sitting out the vote... Seems worth a try anyway.
I mean you might want to keep your powder dry a bit longer.
They wouldn't get enough votes.
Yet.
Maybe tie a carrot to it, like outlawing Jewish Space Lasers.... It's neither the moderate nor the hard-line Republicans you need, it's just a couple of the crazy stupid ones who vote the way they tweet.
Republicans fear almost everything
Oh no a democratic speaker
Has that ever happened before, to lose control because multiple people leave?
And of course they have to blame it on something other than their Republican dysfunction lol.
Civil War of 1861? Due to ejections of insurrectionists and abandonment for rebellion, the Senate flipped and the nascent Republicans got control of the House, Senate, and Presidency.
I do not have the answer to your question, but I am also curios so leaving a comment to follow for an answer.
I do not have the answer to your question, but I am also curios so leaving a comment to follow for an answer.
There is a star button that allows you to follow responses to a comment.
Easier for me to find one of my comments than search through all the junk I save