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I don't think that much anymore. It's going to get worse for Trump.
The North-Midwest is almost certainly locked up because of Walz. The polling has changed too drastically to be statistically incorrect, and new Democrat voter registration is surging so much, the they have legal reps already starting process in courts to ensure they don't get thrown out at the zero hour as the GOP has been fighting to do.
Pennsylvania has shifted more towards Harris, and it was thought to be Blue this cycle anyway.
Arizona and Nevada are absolutely wild. Cannot tell WTF is going on there, plus the GOP has been fighting to get legit voters removed from rolls like in Texas.
Florida and North Carolina were seeming to be somewhat in play again for Dems, and either one of those don't even count as Swing States anymore. Either of them turn for Harris, and it's almost certainly a win.
The cherry on top is RFK stealing Trump votes in swing states
Huh? He dropped
Robinson is doing all he can to make both him and Trump lose NC. I don't see him getting out of his own way. Just hope the split vote here doesn't stay the same as the last few elections....
I'm seeing it about the same way. Over 60 days to go and Harris has enlarged the map. Trump has.to spend resources he doesn't have to remain competitive. His only way out will be a hail Mary.