Historically, once a popular movement had taken to the streets in large numbers, a dictatorship's only move used to be ultra-violence. Now, in a hyper-connected world they have to do a much more detailed cost/benefit analysis. So, the pride march was in defiance of the governments wish not wishing for a different government. Basically, this didn't rise to the level of an existential crisis for the leadership so they are pulling back and using PR to deal with the image issue. The real cost for them, I suspect, is that now there's precedent, so the next pride march may have an easier time. Let's hope so 🌈
this post was submitted on 08 Jul 2025
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Lets hope so indeed, but unfortunately there is a lot of space between ultra-violence and no-doing-anything. The government could still have gathered info that it might use later when there are less journalists watching.
Hopefully this is like the fall of the Berlin Wall in 1989: the tipping point when the authorities realise that they no longer have authority.
Fingers crossed although it seemed more of a legal debacle. Police is investigating the mayor, not the participants, as they believe the public had been misinformed
What’s with all these right wing jokers, everything they don’t like is a conspiracy by someone they want to use as a scapegoat? Can’t shit happen by itself?
It feels like part of the reason for this might be that legal punishment would be, in terms of the optics, damning.
Even authoritarians need social buy in, and when it would be too unambiguous that the exclalated purely in pursuit of violence and oppression, they loose social support they need.
I don't know much about the situation in Hungary but I wonder if that plays a role in things.
Not really, in fact Orbán is losing support because he didn't crack down hard enough from the far right. The leader of the party Orbán was pursuing has reported the police to the police for not stopping Pride.
They don't fine people because they literally can't, tbe underfunded system can't handle fining 400000 people and then appeals and everything.
Also, it's legally ambiguous because for attending to be a crime, the police has to order you to disperse at the scene, which didn't happen.
Interesting, thank you for the additional info!
And it would never hold up in European courts