In the game of hostages, Israel has way more.
this post was submitted on 19 Feb 2024
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They're going to launch the Rafah assault anyway, why would Hamas give up their one bargaining point?
Their not very good bargaining points as Israel has established it couldn't care any less about them. Hell the attacks have killed at least a couple of em. At this point releasing them is the only end I can see here, Israel primary motivation/excuse for the attack is to free/kill the hostages and deter further incursions by hamas to take hostages. If they don't have any hostages the argument for an attack is weaker, not that that'll deter the folks in charge.
Read as "Israel promises to attack DURING Ramadan..."
Unlike others who never attacked during Yom Kipur or party for example.
So the assault isn't some necessary part of their plan to target Hamas, it's just a fucking holocaust they're using as a threat.
Good to know.
$5 says they launch regardless of mitigating factors
I've got $5 on they launch before the date provided.
This is the best summary I could come up with:
A member of Israel’s war cabinet has said the country will launch its threatened ground offensive against Rafah, the last place of relative safety in Gaza, if Hamas does not release its remaining Israeli hostages by the beginning of the holy Muslim month of Ramadan in just under three weeks.
As Israeli forces have expanded ground operations steadily southwards in their war against Hamas over the past four months, Rafah – situated on the border with Egypt, and before the conflict home to about 280,000 people – has become the last refuge for more than half of the strip’s population of 2.3 million.
In Gaza on Monday, the IDF claimed victory in the weeks-long fight for the central town of Khan Younis and nearby refugee camps, making the prospect of a Rafah ground attack more likely.
A major offensive in Rafah, which world leaders fear could lead to a humanitarian catastrophe, during Ramadan could also serve as a trigger for further violence across Israel, the occupied Palestinian territories and the wider region.
Netanyahu, who fears becoming more vulnerable in his three corruption trials if he is ousted from office when the war ends, is widely believed in Israel to be kowtowing to the demands of his far-right coalition partners, who have repeatedly threatened to collapse his government over concessions to either Hamas or Palestinians in general.
While the US, Israel’s most important ally, has provided crucial military support and diplomatic cover for the Israeli war effort, relations between Biden and Netanyahu have reached a nadir over the colossal, and growing, death toll in Gaza.
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