This is a most excellent place for technology news and articles.
I'm a software developer and I know that AI is just the shiny new toy from which everyone uses the buzzword to generate investment revenue.
99% of the crap people use it for us worthless. It's just a hammer and everything is a nail.
It's just like "the cloud" was 10 years ago. Now everyone is back-pedaling from that because it didn't turn out to be the panacea that was promised.
I went to CES this year and I sat on a few ai panels. This is actually not far off. Some said yah this is right but multiple panels I went to said that this is a dead end, and while usefull they are starting down different paths.
Its not bad, just we are finding it's nor great.
Misleading title. From the article,
Asked whether "scaling up" current AI approaches could lead to achieving artificial general intelligence (AGI), or a general purpose AI that matches or surpasses human cognition, an overwhelming 76 percent of respondents said it was "unlikely" or "very unlikely" to succeed.
In no way does this imply that the "industry is pouring billions into a dead end". AGI isn't even needed for industry applications, just implementing current-level agentic systems will be more than enough to have massive industrial impact.
LLMs are good for learning, brainstorming, and mundane writing tasks.
Yes, and maybe finding information right in front of them, and nothing more
Analyzing text from a different point of view than your own. I call that "synthetic second opinion"
I used to support an IVA cluster. Now the only thing I use AI for is voice controls to set timers on my phone.
I use chatgpt daily in my business. But I use it more as a guide then a real replacement.
That's what I did on my Samsung galaxy S5 a decade ago .
LLMs are fundamentally limited, the only interesting application with them is research more or less. There are some practical applications, but those are already being used in industry today, so meh.
Whether or not it's a dead end, is questionable, because scientific research is often met with many a dead end, that's just how it is.
I think the first llm that introduces a good personality will be the winner. I don't care if the AI seems deranged and seems to hate all humans to me that's more approachable than a boring AI that constantly insists it's right and ends the conversation.
I want an AI that argues with me and calls me a useless bag of meat when I disagree with it. Basically I want a personality.
I'm not AI but I'd like to say thay thing to you at no cost at all you useless bag of meat.
To be honest I welcome that response in an AI I have chat gpt set to be as deranged as possible giving it examples like the Dungeon Crawler AI among others like the novels of expeditionary force with Ai's like skippy.
I want an AI with attitude honestly. Even when it's wrong it's amusing. Don't get me wrong I want the right info just given to me arrogantly
This is slightly misleading. Even if you can't achieve "agi" (a barely defined term anyways) it doesn't mean AI is a dead end.
The problem is that those companies are monopolies and can raise prices indefinitely to pursue this shitty dream because they got governments in their pockets. Because gov are cloud / microsoft software dependent - literally every country is on this planet - maybe except China / North Korea and Russia. They can like raise prices 10 times in next 10 years and don't give a fuck. Spend 1 trillion on AI and say we're near over and over again and literally nobody can stop them right now.
IBM used to controll the hardware as well, what's the moat?
How many governments were using computers back then when IBM was controlling hardware and how many relied on paper and calculators ? The problem is that gov are dependend on companies right now, not companies dependent on governments.
Imagine Apple, Google, Amazon and Microsoft decides to leave EU on Monday. They say we ban all European citizens from all of our services on Monday and we close all of our offices and delete data from all of our datacenters. Good Fucking Luck !
What will happen in Europe on Monday ? Compare it with what would happen if IBM said 50 years ago they are leaving Europe.
It doesnt matter if they reach any end result, as long as stocks go up and profits go up.
Consumers arent really asking for AI but its being used to push new hardware and make previous hardware feel old. Eventually everyone has AI on their phone, most of it unused.
If enough researchers talk about the problems then that will eventually break through the bubble and investors will pull out.
We're at the stage of the new technology hype cycle where it crashes, essentially for this reason. I really hope it does soon because then they'll stop trying to force it down our throats in every service we use.
Why won't they pour billions into me? I'd actually put it to good use.
I'd be happy with a couple hundos.
I'd be happy with a big tiddy goth girl. Jealous of your username btw.
