this post was submitted on 05 Jul 2024
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The poll also highlights an ongoing issue for the Democratic Party in that Harris is considered less popular among voters than President Joe Biden.

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[–] [email protected] 27 points 4 months ago (3 children)

A DailyMail.com survey of 1,000 likely voters

Well that seems like some untrustworthy bullshit. Give me a sample size of 100,000 and maybe I’ll listen. Fucking polls…

[–] [email protected] 3 points 4 months ago

A 100,000 person response rate for a snap poll is basically impossible. Not enough people say yes to taking political polls. Most polling is done with 1000-1500, and if you want higher response rates, you have to look at aggregators like 538.

[–] [email protected] 27 points 4 months ago

A thousand voters is actually a perfectly good statistical sampling for the US population.

What matters is that

  • the daily Mail isn't overly credible
  • they don't mention how the thousand voters were selected.

A thousand people is enough to get you into single digit margin of error for a population the size of the US. If you find them by dialing random landlines, or mailing surveys to people with a voter history, your sample biases towards the demographic that still has landlines or that's willing to take the time to fill out a paper survey.