this post was submitted on 21 Jun 2024
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UK Politics

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[–] [email protected] 0 points 2 months ago (1 children)

I think what has been enlightening about this election is seeing how many 'own goals' the Reform party are scoring now that they've been given enough rope to hang themselves with. It reminds me of when they let Nick Griffon on Question Time back in 2009/10 and he absolutely withered under scrutiny.

Yes, there will be a hardcore of people who are going to vote for Reform - maybe even because of gaffes like this. However this is repellent to the wider electorate. Imagine if they were semi-competent and just ran as populist Tories without letting the mask slip immediately. Personally, I'd be much more concerned.

[–] [email protected] 0 points 2 months ago (1 children)

The Reform Party is doing better than Tories atm. If we had a PR or other similar voting system, The Reform Party would get a lot of seats and would consume Tories. The wider electorate wants this.

[–] [email protected] 0 points 2 months ago* (last edited 2 months ago) (1 children)

Eh, they are predicted get even fewer votes than the conservatives are. The conservatives are due to get a pathetic number of votes for a mainline party, and reform are getting even fewer votes.

In no universe are they doing better than the conservatives.

[–] [email protected] 0 points 2 months ago

You should differentiate between votes and seats, because FPTP. Some predictions say that RP can get more votes than LD, but even in the best case scenario with as many votes as possible they can only secure 4-5 seats tops. Tories on the other hand should have enough votes for second place, but in reality they have a very high chance of getting less seats than LD. There's a potential that duopoly will shift to Labour + LD. But RP might become number 3 even with just 4 seats as they're likely to consume Tories politically over the next few years.