this post was submitted on 18 Apr 2024
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Not entirely sure what the problem is here.
AI making VFX artist’s jobs obsolete.
Telephones made the telegraph employees obsolete. Cars made the horses obsolete. Progress moves on.
And nobody even remembers all the poor knockeruppers and lamplighters.
While this is true to an extent, the human mind is not evolving at the pace of technology. Eventually (not sure when) humans will become unemployable for the majority of jobs and the few that are left will not be enough to go around.
We need to start taking UBI ideas seriously now, so in a few decades they are palatable, because we are heading for a labour collapse.
We also need to start using tech to lower our cost of living and our dependence on corporations, these tools are making open source and community projects much easier so combined with local microfabrication we'll be able to create the things we need for ourselves.
I already barely watch anything made by a corporation and manage to keep informed and entertained, I use my computer for everything from coding to video editing and CAD design without using proprietary software. the tools are getting constantly better and with ai coding tools helping the devs that's only going to increase, it's helped speed up my coding hugely.
When ai is capable of replacing meaningful amounts of jobs it'll be able to hugely improve the productivity of anyone doing anything positive for community projects but also the cost to compete will continue to fall, we've seen this happen endlessly with giant monopolies losing the market to swarms of smaller businesses undercutting with better products especially in niche roles.
Huge retail giants have crumbled simply because internet marketplaces make it easy for a hundred garage run business to undercut them, the customer gets better products and the person earns more and lives a better life than if they'd been working for the big corp.
Maplins is a great example, I don't know if you had them in the US but they sold electrical stuff like components, gadgets and batteries but their choice was painfully bad and prices ridiculous compared to even just the early ebay that destroyed them.
Here in the west things were pretty good because we exploited 2/3rds of the world for cheap labour and easy resources, I get people would love to get back to that but the world largely due to improved education and communication through tech is moving away from that which is why one person working a low paid job in the US can no longer afford the labour output of a 100 impoverished 3rd world workers. Personally I prefer a world where everyone is equal and comfortable but maybe that's just me.
The only way things will get better is by going forward, we can't go back and there are no other paths open to us - use tech to lower the cost of living and to depower the monopolies.
Not only could it lead to thousands of jobs being cut (it takes more than just actors to make a movie) it also makes it dead simple to put real people into a video that shows them doing something illegal. Grainy security cam LoRA anyone?
The jobs will be replaced by the Indie companies that this tech will help foster. It was fantasy a few years ago to put out quality products that could rival Hollywood or triple A game companies. That gap is quickly being bridged.
As for manipulated videos as legal evidence, if these products push for authenticity measures of security footage at the hardware/capture level, that's a good thing. Adobe is just commoditizing what's already been possible for some time now.
If trends continue, open-source solutions will be at this level within a year if not months. At that point you're free to "watermark" the content or not.
Would it be so terrible for Hollywood to become a relic of the past?
I couldn't give a flip about "the industry" but that doesn't mean I want to see tens of thousands of talented people out of a job, not all of which are rich movie stars.
So you'd fight to defend the worst excesses of capitalism? That's kinda funny to me, I guess it's America brain rot where you can literally only imagine people happy if they're being exploited by a corporation.
Lowering the bar to self expression and creativity is a great thing, those people will live better lives being able to create their own projects and being able to enjoy and learn from other peoples content.
Beside its not going to be overnight, that's why we need to focus on transition and creating solutions with new tech rather than covering our eyes and crying until it's too late.
All we get is endless doomism and bewailing the tragedy of ai being able to do proples jobs, are you in a different reality and how can I get there?
I wish people would understand the positive things these technologies bring so that we can collectively bring the positive bits into existence sooner
I’m not trying to be contrarian or rude or a troll. I just am not following why this is a problem. Can you elaborate?