this post was submitted on 21 Oct 2024
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solarpunk memes

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[–] [email protected] 20 points 3 days ago (1 children)

kind of an ironic choice of template for the message

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[–] [email protected] 8 points 3 days ago

This is what I’m banking on, things get bad but that would motivate us more and it would become easier and easier to address.

Having said that, I think degrowth is the correct way; the above is risky but better than doom and gloom.

[–] [email protected] 0 points 3 days ago

Try looking at facts. Data. Or, rather, don't if you don't want to become depressed.

[–] [email protected] 2 points 3 days ago

This seems like a weird argument. One has to come before the other. You won't see a noticable reduction CO2 emissions until renewables are primary sources for probably decades. Sure that's not great but it's where we're at.

[–] [email protected] 2 points 3 days ago (2 children)

Solar is cheaper than ever? I mean sure, but you still have to pay for it upfront, and by the time you got your money back you need some new panels. Also i like solar power and everything, but i'm not at home during the day, so i would produce energy for no one. Or i'd get a big ass battery, which is super expensive and doesn't last as long as the panels. And no, where i live, you don't get any money anymore for the extra power you produce.

It's also cool that the ocean is being cleaned, but we'll just produce more garbage in shorter time. So far we did plastic straws, which was a big thing that a lot of people are still mad about. And it was just basically a marketing campaign because a turtle had a straw in it's nose. The garbage that is being fished out of the ocean doesn't just disappear. It's better than chilling in the ocean i guess, but it's still garbage twice the size of texas that has to be delt with.

[–] [email protected] 2 points 3 days ago

As to solar, payback is usually 7-15 years depending on overhead costs, while most panels are still at 80% output in 20 to 25 years. Batteries don’t last as long as panels when being used to near capacity, but they’ll still do about half the lifespan of the panels. Batteries prices are also falling about as quickly as panel prices, with us now being in the neighborhood of 100 dollars per kwh of storage.

I also think it’s a bit of a misnomer, especially on this instance, to consider these things completely dead and worthless at 80% effectiveness, especially when that is still far more effective than a brand new top of the line one a decade ago. I think that there are a lot of people in the world who wouldn’t mind the system taking up 25% more space if they could get them much cheaper, it’s just that much like EV battery range, a lot of people are finding that they don’t really need to replace the thing away at 80% capacity in the first place.

[–] [email protected] 4 points 3 days ago

For your first point, sure let’s consider that the case, then the old panels can be recycled and you get more efficient ones, not a bad trade.

Also, share with your neighbour the extra energy? Or contact your municipal office to pass a tax cut/payback? There’s so much opportunity there! (Just imagine if your city passes such an initiative and others adopt too! Less reliance on fossil fuels!)

On your second point, yeah, we need more innovation in recycling technology. Hopefully we get there too 😊

[–] [email protected] 5 points 3 days ago (1 children)

It certainly hasn't defeated MY adoption expectations, and don't even talk to me about stock share prices for anything involving solar.

[–] [email protected] 4 points 3 days ago (1 children)

I hate stocks, but I hope yours go to the moon!

[–] [email protected] 3 points 3 days ago
[–] [email protected] 69 points 3 days ago* (last edited 3 days ago) (4 children)

Building out more and more renewables doesn't mean anything if emissions aren't falling - and they aren't. Since 2021, nearly 4 full years, the world has closed less than 1% of active coal power plants.

The buildout of renewables has arrived hand-in-hand with an increase in total energy usage. The energy mix has improved greatly in favor of renewables, tons of CO2 per KWh is way down, unfortunately we just use more KWh so total emissions are still rising.

Everything in the meme is a leading indicator for positive change, which is wonderful, but the actual change needs to materialize on a rather short timetable. Stories about happy first derivatives don't count for much.

[–] [email protected] 2 points 3 days ago

Didn't Britian just close down it's last coal plant? Also Colorado is switching away as well. I thought natural gas was replacing coal?

[–] [email protected] 4 points 3 days ago* (last edited 3 days ago) (5 children)

Since 2021, nearly 4 full years, the world has closed less than 1% of active coal power plants.

Closing will come later, when alternatives are widely available. What renewable energy does currently - at least here - is forcing those plants temporarily out of the market, especially during summer months and windy weather. The plants will exist and stay ready in case of need for well over a decade, maybe even two - but they will start up ever more rarely.

Technically, the deal is: we don't have seasonal energy storage. Short term storage is being built - enough to stabilize the grid for a cold windless hour, then a day, then a week... that's about as far as one can go with batteries and pumped hydro.

To really get the goods one has to add seasonal storage or on-demand nuclear generation. The bad news is that technologies for seasonal storage aren't fully mature yet, while nuclear is expensive and slow to build. There's electrolysis and methanation, there's iron reduction, there are flow batteries of various sorts, there's seasonal thermal storage already (a quarter step in the right direction)...

...but getting the mixture right takes time. Instead of looking at the number of closed plants, one should look at the sum of emissions. To remain hopeful, the sum should stop growing very soon.

[–] [email protected] 3 points 3 days ago

One technology that's being developed that can help is high-voltage superconducting DC power, which can send power thousands of miles. So if it's a sunless, windless day in the Northeast they can send power from the Midwest to stabilize the grid.

Also, I'm very bullish on Iron-Air batteries for long-term grid-level storage.

[–] [email protected] 5 points 3 days ago

Instead of looking at the number of closed plants, one should look at the sum of emissions

That was in the link I posted. Emissions are Currently at record highs.

Slowing growth isn't enough; we need significant, sustained, reductions in the very near future, and negative emissions and sequestering carbon in the medium term.

None of that is happening at a scale that would inspire optimism.

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[–] [email protected] 7 points 3 days ago

We might already have reached peak carbon emissions. There's also the thing where renewables are so much cheaper that it's in most countries best self interest to build renewables.

The thing the world is doing now is more energy but the cheapest one is electricity so more electricity. The duck curve is an energy storage opportunity that's being taken advantage of more and more. Things are heading in the right direction but it's not fast enough.

The next emissions on the chopping block are household heating and cement and low-med industrial heat with more advanced heat pumps or heat pumps set up in series.

I've decided to become cautiously optimistic recently the more I learn about how science is advancing the renewables despite governments sometimes being in the way.

[–] [email protected] 12 points 3 days ago

From your link it, for me, it seems like emissions are platooning, similar to a technological S curve. Even if China and India are growing exponentially, reduction in other countries are enough to slow down the process significantly (specially if you zoom in in the last 10 years).

It’s very hard to predict change, but I suspect the deprecation of solutions that emit lots of emissions is about to skyrocket.

[–] [email protected] 3 points 3 days ago (3 children)

So what is this indoor farming for cities?

I remember those boxes to grow salad in, vertically stacked, interesting concept because no need for toxic stuff and almost no water, and it's right there so no need for shipping.

[–] [email protected] 2 points 3 days ago

Been growing plants for 30-years, using zero sunlight to full sunlight. The difference in energy use, manpower, all that, is stunning.

Food is food because it contains loads of energy. We eat corn not oak leaves. That energy has to be put into the plant, at a loss, to get energy out. TANSTAAFL, literally.

[–] [email protected] 1 points 3 days ago

Precisely that, hydroponics to be more precise. It’s not everything, but a great start

[–] [email protected] 9 points 3 days ago

You still need fertilizer and electricity that is less efficient than sunlight to grow indoors.

But somebody once gave terrible math about being able to feed a city from a vertical skyscraper farm and it's been latched onto very hard as a futurism solution.

[–] [email protected] 16 points 3 days ago (1 children)

Why perchance has the interest in a self-sustaining life skyrocketed you think? Could it be because people can barely afford food anymore?

[–] [email protected] 4 points 3 days ago

Not just that, it’s a combination of factors. Sustainable thinking, independence, a connection to the world and self and much more.

[–] [email protected] 27 points 3 days ago (3 children)

I worry that climate defeatism has become a religion, and it will be difficult to separate it from policy discussion going forward.

[–] [email protected] -4 points 3 days ago (3 children)

climate defeatism has become a religion

Going outside to 90⁰ weather in October is a religion?

[–] [email protected] 9 points 3 days ago (1 children)
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[–] [email protected] 12 points 3 days ago (1 children)

Things just shifted instantly from "nothing needs to be done" to "nothing can be done."

[–] [email protected] 4 points 3 days ago* (last edited 3 days ago) (1 children)

The Climate Denier's prayer:

The climate isn't changing,
and even if it was,
It's not humans that are causing it,
and even if we are,
It's better for the economy if we ignore it,
and even if that's not true,
There's nothing we can do about it anyways.

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