Go Gabrielle! You rock so much!
this post was submitted on 25 Jul 2024
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Mark better grow his 'stache.
He'll pull in those Ron Swanson types with his manliness
My question is who is going to run for Mark Kelly’s senate seat in Arizona. He’s popular enough that the seat is safe now.
Is there another candidate that we can be sure will step in and keep the seat blue? If not, it’s probably best that Kelly stays where he is.
The governor will appoint a replacement to fill the seat until.a special election in 2026. The winner will occupy the seat until the next regular cycle for that seat.
The governor of Arizona happens to be Democratic.
Fun fact:
Arizona law actually stipulates that special appointments like a vacant Senate seat must go to someone from the same party as the person who vacated the seat. So even if AZ had a Republican gov, the seat would still have to be appointed to a Democrat.
2026 will be a midterm, which traditionally does not favor the party in the White House. The senate has been on a razor thin margin. A special election in Arizona with an unproven candidate is a legit concern.
A special election in Arizona with an unproven candidate is a legit concern.
Under Arizona law, the person appointed to Kelly's vacant seat would serve out the remainder of his term. That means they'd have two years to 'prove' themselves to voters before having to run for the seat in 2026. I think that's a reasonable amount of time, especially if governor chooses a strong replacement.
People who have been appointed have much lower odds for reelection than a incumbent that won the office.
Yeah.
I don't make the rules. Sorry.
All the other signals seemed kind of questionable, but the wife of a VP contender putting stump time in definitely looks like a sign he's at a later stage of selection. She's not a major figure on her own anymore. Her primary draw right now is as the politically gifted wife of Mark Kelly.
Crazy that so much has insane shit has happened that her story is consigned to such a diminished status. Speaking of fucking assassination attempts. Actually that's kinda poignant in itself.
I suggested this a few days ago and gave myself a mental pat on the back when I read the headline.
I really like Gabby. She spoke at my college graduation and was absolutely inspiring; it's nice to see her in the public eye again.