i'm going to need so much popcorn to watch GOP squirming and flailing desperate to find something to attack LOL
~~she's too OLD!!!~~
~~hunter's laptop!!!~~
~~buttery males!!!~~
LOL
eat shit, republicans
this post was submitted on 23 Jul 2024
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This is good. Early, sure, but its numbers going in the right direction.
Harris, whose campaign says she has secured the Democratic nomination, led Trump 44% to 42% in the national poll, a difference within the 3-percentage-point margin of error.
National polls go beyond meaninglessness and into actual harm. The national popular vote does not elect the president, as we all should know too well. My vote in Illinois is worth far less than someone's vote in Wyoming. Your vote in California is worth far less than someone's vote in Alaska.
Unless a national poll weights responses based on state, and based on the electoral college results from states, it is completely misleading.
And my vote in Oklahoma.....oh fuck it who are we kidding lol. Meaningless. I still do it though.
Just saw Oklahoma has one of the lowest voter turn outs in the nation. With Tulsa and Oklahoma city it's more progressive than most people realize. We've just got to get out and vote and convince those around us to do the same. I know we have the numbers to win local elections.
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In a similar situation. Theres a zero percent chance trump doesn't win my state by at least 10 points. Still gonna vote though.
Both of you should be asking how your vote could be made meaningful outside the scope of your current evaluation.
He'll see the popular vote count and it will annoy him. He was mad about it even when he won!
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Popularity or percentage of electoral college votes?
Only one of the two matter.
Yeah this is always the thing people forget... we have this antiquated electoral college thing.
Popularity I'm afraid.
Other polls that factor in additional considerations essentially have them neck-and-neck right now, maybe a 1 or 2% lead for Trump.
Fucking electoral college...
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The only certain thing is nobody knows who will be elected until after the polls close and counting is certified.
VOTE. Everyone vote as if yours is the only one that matters, because it may be.
100% agree. Polls also don't really account for voter suppression tactics, or gerrymandering and other GOP fuckery, so absolutely vote because our democracy is literally at stake here.
Our future generations will be impacted by the outcome of this specific election.
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That is an uncomfortably close margin but it's good to see she's leading now at least.
This is a swing and she's only beginning to build momentum. Let's hope things keep moving in the right direction.
Other polls I had seen just yesterday (likely collected before Biden dropping out was a reality) still had Trump with a 1% or more lead over Harris, so they're really all over the place and I wouldn't trust them for much, even up to and including election day. I'm not breathing a sigh of relief until victory is declared, and even then, I wouldn't be so sure.
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It's only been like one day.
Yeah, and it's great to see Trump's standing reversed in that one day!
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