Well a 31 point swing is a promising signal.
this post was submitted on 08 May 2024
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politics
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A. It was a recall election (though still good).
B. Was this district affected by redistricting?
It's a county office, which usually means the "district" is the whole county. Unless it happens to work differently in this specific case.
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More of this please and thank you.
You can definitely expect more. Democrats are consistently over-performing versus the polls.
Polling is kinda broken right now.
I blame phone companies for that. They've had the ability to block scam calls for a while but haven't because it makes them money. Now people don't even bother answering their phones anymore, especially if it's an unknown number, so the only people who respond to polls aren't representative of the population.
And really people are not making phone calls nearly as much as they used to. The pollsters need to find a reasonably unbiased method to sample people on other communication methods.
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I would like a federal law that allows me to receive $1 from any caller if I decide I didn't like the call. If at any point there is a failure to trace the call back to the caller, that point of failure pays the dollar on behalf of the true culprit.
Blame the FCC. It used to be illegal to telemarket to cell numbers.
I think I'll blame the people who actually have the capability of doing something about it. They could have done this years ago.
I don't think the phone companies have the power you imagine them to have.
If the entire global was controlled by a single entity they could stop this but that's not the reality. There are tons of gateway providers that you have never heard of.
This is literally the job of the FCC and they are already working on it but it takes time to herd this many cats. The big ones have already done their part.
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You can blame congress as well. They could be making laws to help with this
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Even if Dems are outperforming polls, I don't want anyone feeling comfortable that Biden is going to win. Literally everyone needs to feel panic and dread about the upcoming election, and vote in downticket races as well.
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