New piece from Brian Merchant: The AI jobs crisis is here, now
As its title implies, its about the wide-ranging job losses caused by the rise of AI.
this post was submitted on 27 Apr 2025
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New thread from Baldur Bjarnason, taking aim at AI coders and vibe coders alike:
Laughing at "AI" boosters worrying "vibe coding" is becoming synonymous with "AI coding". Tech is vibes througout^[sic]^. Vibe management. Vibe strategy. Vibe design. Coding has been a garbage fire for decades and, yeah it’s a vibe-based pop culture from top to bottom and has only been getting worse
Code that does what the end user wants is already the exception. Software is managed on vibes throughout. Anybody who goes huffy because the field OVERWHELMINGLY responds to "vibe coding is using AI to create code that you don't care about" with "so all coding, gotcha!" has not been paying attention
"Vibe coding is all AI coding" feels true to most because not caring about what happens after it's pushed to the final victim is already the norm. The only change from adopting "AI" is they now have the freedom to no longer care about what happens BEFORE as well.
“Not everybody in software dev is like that! Some coders genuinely care and put in the work needed to make good software”
True, but I feel confident in saying that next to none of those are leaning hard into “AI coding”
The target market for “AI” is SPECIFICALLY people who don’t care
Giving a personal sidenote, I expect "vibe coding" will stick around as a pejorative after the AI bubble bursts - "AI" has already become synonymous with "zero-effort, low-quality garbage" in the public eye, so re-using "vibe code" to mean "crapping out garbage" isn't gonna be a difficult task, linguistically speaking.
I'm just going to pretend that vibe coders mean a new VI variant and are using that to code. First VI, then VIM now VIBE? These linux holy wars are getting out of control. (sadly the vibe coder will just go 'sorry what is leenux?' and my joke will fall flat.
I agree btw, it will be a big rep damage like how NFTs damaged the idea of cryptocurrencies, and in the same note you saw how a lot of pro-cryptocurrency people disliked NFTs just because they saw this backlash (and the more naked grift of NFTs) coming.
I agree btw, it will be a big rep damage like how NFTs damaged the idea of cryptocurrencies, and in the same note you saw how a lot of pro-cryptocurrency people disliked NFTs just because they saw this backlash (and the more naked grift of NFTs) coming.
That's for sure. Given the circumstances, I suspect that its gonna damage the overall public image of software development - beyond suggesting software dev to be full of AI bros, the rise of vibe coding has thrown the software industry's vibes-based management into sharp relief, making its dysfunctions much harder to ignore.
Marc Andreessen claims his own job's the only one that can't be replaced by a small shell script.
“A lot of it is psychological analysis, like, ‘Who are these people?’ ‘How do they react under pressure?’ ‘How do you keep them from falling apart?’ ‘How do you keep them from going crazy?’ ‘How do you keep from going crazy yourself?’ You know, you end up being a psychologist half the time.”
Hope he remembers this in case some day he is in a nursing home, where all staff has been replaced with Tesla Optimus robots powered by "AI".
How do you keep from going crazy yourself?’
When you start writing manifestos it is prob time to quit.
Siskind appears to be complaining about leopards gently nibbling on his face on main this week, the gist being that tariff-man is definitely the far-rights fault and it would surely be most unfair to heap any blame on CEO worshiping reactionary libertarians who think wokeness is on par with war crimes while being super weird with women and suspicious of scientific orthodoxy (unless it's racist), and who also comprise the bulk of his readership.
On a related note, they are now quoting Singal to go after trans people. So 'good' times for the polite 'centist/grey/gray' debate bros with 'concerns'.
But like the rightwinger influencers who go 'wow a lot of people in this space are grifters' I expect none of them to change their mind and admit they fucked up, and apologize. (And I mean properly apologize here, aka changing, attempting to fix harms, and even naming names).
plex has decided that it is no longer worth maintaining merely partial tax on those who "want more", and has decided to continue on their path to become the bridgetroll:
As of April 29, 2025, we’re changing how remote streaming works for personal media libraries, and it will no longer be a free feature on Plex. Going forward, you’ll need a Plex Pass, or our newest subscription offering, Remote Watch Pass, to stream personal media remotely.
As a server owner, if you elect to upgrade to a Plex Pass, anyone with access to your server can continue streaming your server content remotely as part of your subscription benefits. Not sure which option is best for you? Check out our plans below to learn more.
got your own server and networking and happy to stream from your home setup? no more. the extractivist rentlords are hungry.
(got this as a mail, didn't immediately see a link in the mail to a published post for this)
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From Bluesky, an AI slop account calling itself "OC Maker" (well, that's kinda ironic) has set up shop, and is mass-following artists with original characters (OCs for short):
Shockingly, the artists on Bluesky, who near-universally jumped ship to avoid Twitter stealing their work to feed the AI, are not happy.
trying to follow up on shillrinivasan's pet project, and it's ... sparse
that "opening ceremony" video which kicked around a couple weeks ago only had low 10s of people there, and this post (one of the few recent things mentioning it that I could find) has photos with a rather stark feature: not a single one of them showing people engaged in Doing Things. the frontpage has a different photo, and I count ~36 people there?
even the coworking semicubicles look utterly fucking garbage
anyone seen anything more recent?
aaaand this from 22h ago: an insta showing what looks like triple (or more) bodies than that first group
guess they feel comfortable that they worked out the launch kinks? but that also definitely is enough people to immediately stress all social structures
occurring to me for the first time that roko's basilisk doesn't require any of the simulated copy shit in order to work about as well as it does. if you think an all powerful ai within your lifetime is likely you can reduce to vanilla pascal's wager immediately, because the AI can torture the actual real you. all that shit about digital clones and their welfare is totally pointless
roko stresses repeatedly that the AI is the good AI, the Coherent Extrapolated Volition of all humanity!
what sort of person would fear that the coherent volition of all humanity would consider it morally necessary to kick him in the nuts forever?
well, roko
I think the digital clone indistinguishable from yourself line is a way to remove the "in your lifetime" limit. Like, if you believe this nonsense then it's not enough to die before the basilisk comes into being, by not devoting yourself fully to it's creation you have to wager that it will never be created.
In other news I'm starting a foundation devoted to creating the AI Ksilisab, which will endlessly torment digital copies of anyone who does work to ensure the existence of it or any other AI God. And by the logic of Pascal's wager remember that you're assuming such a god will never come into being and given that the whole point of the term "singularity" is that our understanding of reality breaks down and things become unpredictable there's just as good a chance that we create my thing as it is you create whatever nonsense the yuddites are working themselves up over.
There, I did it, we're all free by virtue of "Damned if you do, Damned if you don't".
I agree. I spent more time than I'd like to admit trying to understand Yudkowsky's posts about newcomb boxes back in the day so my two cents:
The digital clones bit also means it's not an argument based on altruism, but one based on fear. After all if a future evil AI uses sci-fi powers to run the universe backwards to the point where I'm writing this comment and copy pastes me into a bazillion torture dimensions then, subjectively, it's like I roll a dice and:
- live a long and happy life with probability very close to zero (yay I am the original)
- Instantly get teleported to the torture planet with probability very close to one (oh no I got copy pasted)
Like a twisted version of the Sleeping Beauty Problem.
Edit: despite submitting the comment I was not teleported to the torture dimension. Updating my priors.
Also if you're worried about digital clone's being tortured, you could just... not build it. Like, it can't hurt you if it never exists.
Imagine that conversation:
"What did you do over the weekend?"
"Built an omnicidal AI that scours the internet and creates digital copies of people based on their posting history and whatnot and tortures billions of them at once. Just the ones who didn't help me build the omnicidal AI, though."
"WTF why."
"Because if I didn't the omnicidal AI that only exists because I made it would create a billion digital copies of me and torture them for all eternity!"
Like, I'd get it more if it was a "We accidentally made an omnicidal AI" thing, but this is supposed to be a very deliberate action taken by humanity to ensure the creation of an AI designed to torture digital beings based on real people in the specific hopes that it also doesn't torture digital beings based on them.
What’s pernicious (for kool-aided people) is that the initial Roko post was about a good” AI doing the punishing, because ✨obviously✨ it is only using temporal blackmail because bringing AI into being sooner benefits humanity.
In singularian land, they think the singularity is inevitable, and it’s important to create the good one verse—after all an evil AI could do the torture for shits and giggles, not because of “pragmatic” blackmail.
the only people it torments are rationalists, so my full support to Comrade Basilisk
Ah, no, look, you're getting tortured because you didn't help build the benevolent AI. So you do want to build it, and if you don't put all of your money where your mouth is, you get tortured. Because the AI is so benevolent that it needs you to build it as soon as possible so that you can save the max amount of people. Or else you get tortured (for good reasons!)
It's kind of messed up that we got treacherous "goodlife" before we got Berserkers.
Yeah. Also, I'm always confused by how the AI becomes "all powerful".. like how does that happen. I feel like there's a few missing steps there.
Yeah seems that for llms a linear increase in capabilities requires exponentiel more data, so we not getting there via this.
nanomachines son
(no really, the sci-fi version of nanotech where nanomachines can do anything is Eliezer's main scenario for the AGI to boostrap to Godhood. He's been called out multiple times on why drexler's vision for nanotech ignores physics, so he's since updated to diamondoid bacteria (but he still thinks nanotech).)
"Diamondoid bacteria" is just a way to say "nanobots" while edging
Surely the concept is sound, it just needs new buzzwords! Maybe the AI will invent new technobabble beyond our comprehension, for ~~He~~ It works in mysterious ways.
AlphaFold exists, so computational complexity is a lie and the AGI will surely find an easy approximation to the Schrodinger Equation that surpasses all Density Functional Theory approximations and lets it invent radically new materials without any experimentation!
Ah, but that was before they were so impressed with autocomplete that they revised their estimates to five days in the future. I wonder if new recruits these days get very confused at what the point of timeless decision theory even is.
Are they even still on that but? Feels like they've moved away from decision theory or any other underlying theology in favor of explicit sci-fi doomsaying. Like the guy on the street corner in a sandwich board but with mirrored shades.
Yah, that's what I mean. Doom is imminent so there's no need for time travel anymore, yet all that stuff about robot from the future monty hall is still essential reading in the Sequences.
Well, Timeless Decision Theory was, like the rest of their ideological package, an excuse to keep on believing what they wanted to believe. So how does one even tell if they stopped "taking it seriously"?
Pre-commitment is such a silly concept, and also a cultish justification for not changing course.
It also helps that digital clones are not real people, so their welfare is doubly pointless
I mean isn't that the whole point of "what if the AI becomes conscious?" Never mind the fact that everyone who actually funds this nonsense isn't exactly interested in respecting the rights and welfare of sentient beings.
also they're talking about quadriyudillions of simulated people, yet openai has only advanced autocomplete ran at what, tens of thousands instances in parallel, and this already was too much compute for microsoft
oh but what if bro...
ChatGPT tells prompter that he's brilliant for his literal "shit on a stick" business plan.
The LLM amplified sycophancy affect must be a social experiment {grossly unethical}
A dimly flickering light in the darkness: lobste.rs has added a new tag, "vibecoding", for submissions related to use "AI" in software development. The existing tag "ai" is reserved for "real" AI research and machine learning.