this post was submitted on 03 Apr 2025
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[–] [email protected] 34 points 1 month ago (3 children)

Can someone please provide the context what epsilon and phi suppose to represent and why they are 4 and 1/4?

[–] [email protected] 81 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago) (2 children)

Direct from USTR.gov:

To calculate reciprocal tariffs, import and export data from the U.S. Census Bureau for 2024. Parameter values for ε and φ were selected. The price elasticity of import demand, ε, was set at 4.

Recent evidence suggests the elasticity is near 2 in the long run (Boehm et al., 2023), but estimates of the elasticity vary. To be conservative, studies that find higher elasticities near 3-4 (e.g., Broda and Weinstein 2006; Simonovska and Waugh 2014; Soderbery 2018) were drawn on. The elasticity of import prices with respect to tariffs, φ, is 0.25. The recent experience with U.S. tariffs on China has demonstrated that tariff passthrough to retail prices was low (Cavallo et al, 2021).

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[–] [email protected] 136 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago) (6 children)

All the chat bots say this is how you balance it...

They absolutely asked chatbots, and I'd bet money at some stage someone said "make it look more complicated" and that was then made as a prompt to the AI...

Who made a simple mathmatic equation look complicated by adding shit that cancels out.

The people who actually used the numbers had no idea where they came from, or what it meant.

So they're almost certainly learning today that it both was made by a chatbot, and that it's just that simple.

Like, the people running this clown show literally and figuratively don't know what they're doing. They think real experts are giving them advise on this shit and it's some boomer using chatgpt

[–] [email protected] 44 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago) (2 children)

Probably the Formula came from one of those doge Kids, so more likely a Zoomer instead of a boomer.

And i think, they knew full Well, that their numbers were shit and based Off on nothing substantial at all. They Just wanted to hide IT behind some math Formular in Order to Trick the populace. Because its easier to Argument for "an expert approach" instead of "we just made Up some Numbers"

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[–] [email protected] 63 points 1 month ago (2 children)

So you’re saying they named a recession after me? I can do better! I’ll give them the Donpression! It’ll be the greatest Donpression there ever was. It’ll be in the history books, folks. No Donpression will ever be greater!

[–] [email protected] 22 points 1 month ago (3 children)

You do realize that's all of what he's after, right? He wants to be remembered in such a way that no American will ever be able to forget him. He doesn't care why he's remembered, only that he is. We don't remember the name of the pilot of the Enola Gay, but we remember the plane, Fat Man, Little Boy, Hiroshima, Nagasaki, and Truman. Recognition and memory, for him, is more important than context.

[–] [email protected] 17 points 1 month ago (1 children)

So the Fat Boy depression, got it. Can he go now?

[–] [email protected] 5 points 1 month ago

And the Ebana Gay

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