this post was submitted on 27 Feb 2024
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politics

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294
Trump is winning big with his base, but there’s no sign that he's broadening support (apnews.com)
submitted 6 months ago by [email protected] to c/[email protected]
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[–] [email protected] 2 points 6 months ago

It also highlights a Republican party that has made an about-face on central policy issues, favoring some big government programs and retreating from commitments abroad.

That's a strange take on history. Of course many Republican politicains have said "focus on the homeland" or whatever while voting for wars, so the stated positions aren't really changing, and I don't imagine that Trump would be anti-war anyway. And big government is also a Republican thing. I can point to specific examples, but we all know about them, so why bother?

Anyway, it's hard for politics writers, no doubt, but this is basic historical knowledge. They can do better.

[–] [email protected] 27 points 6 months ago* (last edited 6 months ago) (1 children)

It will be people (in a few key states) who refuse to vote for Biden due to purity testing or vote third party who put him in office if it happens.

[–] [email protected] 9 points 6 months ago (1 children)

That is how basically every election has worked for 30+ years. About 40% of people lean republican, 40% democrat, and 20% independent. Campaigns are mostly about getting 100% of your 40% to vote than winning independents or opponents.

[–] [email protected] 9 points 6 months ago* (last edited 6 months ago)

Way less people are Republican, but only in pure numbers, which doesn't mean shit when you use the Electoral College (or have 2 senators per state regardless of population, for that matter). The only voters who actually matter for presidents are in the 5 or so states that don't always go red or blue.

[–] [email protected] 17 points 6 months ago

We already hit the point decades ago where GOP can't win a federal election without anti democratic institutions like gerrymandering and the electoral college. It needs to be replaced with something actually functional in leading government in policy supporting constituents to compete with DNC. I detest political parties, but the only thing worse than many parties is one party.

[–] [email protected] 5 points 6 months ago

Dubious methodology says trump in trouble -> upvote

Dubious methodology says Biden in trouble -> downvote to oblivion.

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