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Current US doctrine relies on controlling the skies. Still right now there's no credible threat to US air dominance. If the US has air dominance, drones in their current form are a bug attacking a tractor. Look up videos on how the US air campaign worked during Gulf War 1 and see the sheer number of assets that were on station for months waiting for the order to attack. Any enemy would be utterly exhausted by the time any attack started and the force and speed of violence would keep drones down to local threats.
That's also not counting any drone countermeasures the US currently has and could mass deploy.
I think the US use of expensive drones is just different to what we're seeing in Ukraine. They're fitting into a different space than FPV drones, which isn't bad, it's just different.
Gulf War 1 is either just as relevant as yesterday or not relevant at all. It was a bit of a demonstrative beating.
I know, but the recent India-Pakistan contact seems to have shown that modern ways to reach those expensive assets are available to many more countries than when this doctrine was adopted. Which means that very expensive planes might sometimes be shot down, and the system disrupted.
Ukraine reaches Moscow suburbs with drones. It has almost become realistic for a hypothetical Muslim country with oil to reach something like Austin, Texas with drones. With some stages involved, maybe with recharging\refueling drones, maybe using fixed-wing drones that can glide will make more sense for such, maybe even launched from naval drones as small carriers. The point is, this has become possible. Not bug attacking a tractor, more like a host of termites attacking a tractor and it's not good for its driver if they reach him.
I think that's a bit far fetched. You don't need to have something fly from Tripoli to hit the US, just send operatives here, and have them launch the attacks from the US. You could be a mile away and never get caught, hypothetically speaking.
I still think US doctrine from GW1 applies, simply because drone use is already being implemented into the current chain of command. I have a few friends that are on the RnD side of things and the non classified drone stuff they've talked about to me is exceptionally impressive, and augments current doctrine rather than upending it.
OK, admittedly I don't really know a thing other than what I read, and it would make sense.
BTW, yes, launches from Russian territory much closer to targets Ukrainians do too.
You wouldn't even need something that big, man.
I was in college during GWOT and part of the political science club. We had a 'games theory' session with the DHS rep in our state, where part of the class was reps for the government and part were a terrorist cell.
I was part of the latter, and our goal was 'disrupt the state' and half the people wanted a big 9-11 attack to happen. My suggestion was small teams and car bombs over the course of 3 days along the major highways in the state and intra city traffic would grind to a halt. That was what kept him up at night.
The same thing could be done at an even more effective scale with FPVs hypothetically.
Yes, but also now there are networked cameras everywhere.
Sure, pointing at streets. Your normal not super cheap FPV has a range of like a mile. Even adjacent to an urban center you could find places to launch a drone and send it to do evil shit and not be spotted.
Mostly yes and they do that. The future surely is fun. Both hitting bad people has become easier, and for bad people to go really bad has become too.
I'm starting to think Game of Thrones atmosphere of "why are they doing this crap, are they that stupid, how can a bloody duke be so naive while being described and wise and responsible, how can another bloody duke, supposedly very smart and cunning, run around ruining his own power base just to get a bit more of it, how can yet another bloody duchy known for intrigue and poison just lose its heir in a duel and not have backup paths" and so on was on spot.
The actual Middle Ages, if you read about it, were a bit more interesting, and deposed enemies were often not killed, but given replacement property someplace close to the victor's center of power, minimizing both their reasons to raise the question and their opportunities to do so with one action.
But! The actual Middle Ages didn't have quite the scale achievable now.
Interesting parallel! I'm not super versed on the middle ages/medieval history. I love the concept of learning more about it but for me finding the time to properly do so just isn't there.
I also miss like... college style lectures on those kind of topics. I should just squat some history classes at the universities by me.