this post was submitted on 16 May 2025
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[–] [email protected] 7 points 5 days ago (1 children)

The way I understand it is the distant future part. Even if you calculate its orbit very well there's always a level of uncertainty that grows with time, news outlets never show the error bars.

[–] [email protected] 1 points 5 days ago (2 children)

Uncertainty shrinks with time.

[–] [email protected] 4 points 4 days ago* (last edited 4 days ago)

Uncertainty grows with increased extrapolated time, shrinks as time passes with updated measurements.

[–] [email protected] 1 points 5 days ago (1 children)

Only if you keep making measurements

[–] [email protected] 1 points 4 days ago

Which space monitoring agencies are sure to do.