this post was submitted on 27 Apr 2025
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Completely agreed.
I agree, but I think that the ecosystem that AGI develops within decades from now will develop from the ecosystem that is currently developing LLMs and genAI. All the same components are required.
While super intelligence is far off in the future, but the reasoning systems and architectures required for it will be developed in the coming decades, of which the intermediate lesser intelligent systems will provide capabilities that accelerate the development of improved intelligent systems.
It will be necessary for China or some other AES state to be ahead of bourgeois entities long before AGI can meaningfully iterate upon itself or gains can provide compounding results.
Similarly to the USSR developing nuclear weapons shortly after the US prevented the US from using them for heinous acts to enforce their hegemony, China must do the same with AI, but even earlier given how willing the US will be to deploy these systems without carrying the immediate backlash of vaporizing millions of people.