| Party | Seats | % | Change in Seats | Majority Probability | Minority Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liberal | 192 | 44.4% | +39 | 93.2% | 6.3% |
| Conservative | 118 | 37.8% | -1 | 0.1% | 4.1% |
| Bloc | 26 | 6.3% | -7 | 0% | 0% |
| New Democrat | 6 | 6.7% | -19 | N/A | N/A |
| Green | 1 | 1.4% | -1 | N/A | N/A |
| People's | 0 | 2.7% | -2.2% | N/A | N/A |
this post was submitted on 24 Mar 2025
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I would have to think if the polls are right and the liberals manage to win a majority, the conservatives would have to do some real soul searching.
Conservatives would rather abandon democracy than conservatism
They'll just get angrier and play dirtier. That will be the result of their soul searching.
I'd love it if the Conservatives fielded a moderate, Joe Clark-style candidate. I'd be able to go through an election cycle without losing sleep for once.
I heard Christy Clarke is looking for work - she's essentially a moderate conservative.
The problem is that she would first have to win the party leadership. And the party nomination process has been hijacked by the fundies who don't want a moderate.