this post was submitted on 03 Dec 2024
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CanadaPolitics
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Canada isn't as blue as you think unfortunately
It's blue enough as far as presidential elections are concerned. With the electoral college system, you only need a slim majority voting Democrat, and Canada as 51st would reliably provide that. Even where Congress is concerned, it would become significantly harder to elect a Republican majority I think, though there would be more of a battle there.
The logical candidate for 51st state, of course, is Puerto Rico, and the GOP is not super-enthused about them either. It's hard to say how they would vote long-term, but they certainly have a strong and well-justified hatred for Trump.
According to a Leger poll, 64% of Canadians would vote for Kamala Harris, while 21% would support Donald Trump, with 15% undecided. Conservative voters in Canada were nearly evenly split, with 42% supporting Harris and 45% backing Trump.
https://www.ctvnews.ca/canada/majority-of-canadians-would-vote-for-kamala-harris-in-u-s-election-poll-1.7086714
Trump would lose the election if Canada were a state, barring any electoral college shenanigans.
Electoral college logic: Alberta gets its own statehood and 25 votes, BC gets 4 votes because it gets absorbed into Washington State, and the Victoria and Olympia Reps have to share one chair in Congress because they couldn't buy another one somehow.