this post was submitted on 03 Dec 2024
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CanadaPolitics
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A new blue state with 40 million people? I don't think he's thought this through very well.
Canada isn't as blue as you think unfortunately
It's blue enough as far as presidential elections are concerned. With the electoral college system, you only need a slim majority voting Democrat, and Canada as 51st would reliably provide that. Even where Congress is concerned, it would become significantly harder to elect a Republican majority I think, though there would be more of a battle there.
The logical candidate for 51st state, of course, is Puerto Rico, and the GOP is not super-enthused about them either. It's hard to say how they would vote long-term, but they certainly have a strong and well-justified hatred for Trump.
According to a Leger poll, 64% of Canadians would vote for Kamala Harris, while 21% would support Donald Trump, with 15% undecided. Conservative voters in Canada were nearly evenly split, with 42% supporting Harris and 45% backing Trump.
https://www.ctvnews.ca/canada/majority-of-canadians-would-vote-for-kamala-harris-in-u-s-election-poll-1.7086714
Trump would lose the election if Canada were a state, barring any electoral college shenanigans.
Electoral college logic: Alberta gets its own statehood and 25 votes, BC gets 4 votes because it gets absorbed into Washington State, and the Victoria and Olympia Reps have to share one chair in Congress because they couldn't buy another one somehow.
When has the population ever mattered? People don't vote.
It's a new blue state with a ton of land. Therefore it deserves 150 electoral votes.
And water. Oh the water....