this post was submitted on 09 Oct 2024
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Science Memes

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50% survival rate (sh.itjust.works)
submitted 1 month ago by [email protected] to c/[email protected]
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[–] [email protected] -1 points 1 month ago (2 children)

@Cenotaph Nope, say the first doctor did 100 successful cases, the other did 2 successful and 2 failed, then the collective would be (100+2)*100/104 = 98.07%

So the number of cases would matter.

[–] [email protected] 1 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago)

98.07 for the surgery in general but not if you have decided to go to the first doctor. Then the 50% chance of the second doctor doesn't not come into the equation, assuming surgery is done by the first doctor who is independent of second doctor. Hope that makes more sense.

[–] [email protected] 21 points 1 month ago

Of course. My point was only that there is definitely a difference between an individual doctor's success rate and the overall success rate of a procedure across all doctors, responding to the commment I replied to.