this post was submitted on 24 Nov 2024
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Now that we have final numbers. It appears that Harris had all the white & black support she needed for an EC victory. But Trump outright flipping Latino men and making huge gains with Latino women seems to have made all the difference.

What do you think?

First image is 2024, second is 2020.

(page 2) 50 comments
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[–] [email protected] 17 points 1 month ago (5 children)

Kamala lost because the Dems didn't show up. Again. Look at the number of votes for 2020 vs 2024. All those "undecided" and "obstainers" that didn't just stay home. They didn't bother doing a mail in.

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[–] [email protected] 12 points 1 month ago (6 children)

These are national statistics. They bear no direct relation to the outcome.

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[–] [email protected] 12 points 1 month ago (1 children)

The Dems would have won if they ran a campaign relevant to the struggling and apprehensive. They didn't. They lost.

[–] [email protected] -2 points 1 month ago (4 children)

Every other Lemmy comment section told me that it was Anti-Genocide college students who cost Kamala the election /s

[–] [email protected] 6 points 1 month ago (3 children)

It's never any 1 constituency to blame.

But maybe a campaign telling independents and centrists that liberals are doing genocide while not also running on saying, "Republicans will genocide more, however," was a really bad idea.

I'm not sure you guys bear the moral responsibility for Kamala losing, but I do think there is an argument to make for bearing moral responsibility to helping ensure more death happened.

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[–] [email protected] 3 points 1 month ago

More than one thing can be true; one things can be a subset of another.

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[–] [email protected] 14 points 1 month ago (2 children)

It's really unclear, to me, what these tables are even saying. What's each column?

[–] [email protected] 4 points 1 month ago

Collumn 1 is Percentage that voted for the Winner (Republican 2024/Democrat 2020), Column 2 the Loser, Column 3 is the percentage of the people polled.

So row Latino men: 55% voted for Trump, 43% Voted for Harris, and 6% of the exit poll said they were Latino men.

[–] [email protected] 2 points 1 month ago

The first two columns is what percentage each party receive for that particular demographic. The third column is the percentage that demographic made up of the total votes.

So the each rows first two columns should add the 100%. The final column should add to 100%.

[–] [email protected] 9 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago) (5 children)

Since Trump’s number one message was about immigration, it makes me wonder how Latinos took that message. A bystanding white person might think that US Latinos should be appalled at the way Trump painted Mexican immigrants as criminals.

But then again, maybe Mexican immigrants who’ve been in the US a while look down on those recently arriving, or don’t want more of them to compete with. After all if you are a Mexican immigrant, you probably compete with other Mexican immigrants for work on some level.

So there again we have the failure of identity politics. It’s about simple “me” economics, not “we” identity.

[–] [email protected] 3 points 1 month ago

Oh no doubt in my mind it's the same as the stockholm syndrome afflicted gay men who were all over social media supporting Trump. It doesn't matter what the Republican party does or says, men in the US want to support it and delude themselves that they aren't it's targets.

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[–] [email protected] 35 points 1 month ago
[–] [email protected] 11 points 1 month ago (1 children)

I know! Let's blame EVERYBODY. That way nobody is left out and we can just admit we ALL fucked up so next time we can constructively work together to NOT fuck up instead of slinging mud at each other for the next four years.

[–] [email protected] -2 points 1 month ago (3 children)

not gonna happen. harris supporters still think genociding and massive wealth inequalities are okay. dems have lost my vote nationally until they start supporting labor and stop fucking warmongering.

[–] [email protected] 3 points 1 month ago (11 children)

Congrats on your surplus privilege! But I have some bad news for you...

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[–] [email protected] 24 points 1 month ago (2 children)

White people voting for the right is the problem. Like how can we go on here and blame Latinos for shifting when such a high percentage of white people voted for him? Especially when you factor in the population size and not just % left or right.

I am ashamed of my peers.

[–] [email protected] 3 points 1 month ago (1 children)

Less white people voted for trump in 24 though. The Latino bit is concerning because Democrats believed they had a demographic inevitability, and that appears to not be the case.

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[–] [email protected] 5 points 1 month ago (1 children)

Someone pointed out that a lot of Latinos are effectively white, like Cruz and Rubio.

[–] [email protected] 7 points 1 month ago (2 children)

Miami Cubans are absolutely convinced they're white and not immigrants. Source : 20+ years in Miami

[–] [email protected] 2 points 1 month ago

My Cuban ex fling used to say exactly the same thing. I wonder where he is now, and if he's changed his mind? I hope he's doing well and hasn't.

[–] [email protected] 3 points 1 month ago (1 children)

So at what point do they become locals? Caucasian people were also immigrants at some point

[–] [email protected] 2 points 1 month ago

Locals to where? They are by definition Latino / Hispanic and as they came from another country straight up immigrants. Kids of said born here are locals.

[–] [email protected] 6 points 1 month ago (1 children)

If that lasr column is population, latino men are 1/7 compared to white men. So the larger difference is much smaller than it appears. And how did there get to be so many more latino women than men.

[–] [email protected] 2 points 1 month ago (1 children)

No, the last column is what percentage of the vote they made up.

[–] [email protected] 1 points 1 month ago

Ah. Similar effect in reducing the net difference

[–] [email protected] 26 points 1 month ago

Please be careful whenever you ask these questions. It's so easy to blame one single minority group for a widespread failure. Of course analysis of individual voting groups is legitimate, as long as you properly frame what you're doing.

This is a serious issue both because of the connection with racism (i.e., it's the Latinos' fault) and abdication of responsibility (i.e., we bear no responsibility).

[–] [email protected] 38 points 1 month ago (2 children)

White people are so obsessed with blaming an optgroup like what about all the white guys that voted for him

[–] [email protected] 14 points 1 month ago

What about all the white women who voted for Trump? Benefitting from structural racism is a helluva drug

[–] [email protected] 3 points 1 month ago

... but he'll make my racist life better, he told me! /s

[–] [email protected] 8 points 1 month ago

A functional, coherent working class policy would've ticked some of those numbers in the campaign's favor across the board without even having to divide by race or gender.

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