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Large Language Model Performance Doubles Every 7 Months (spectrum.ieee.org)

submitted 6 days ago by [email protected] to c/[email protected]

54 comments fedilink hide all child comments

By 2030, AI will greatly outperform humans in some complex intellectual tasks. Discover how LLMs are doubling their capabilities every seven months.

(page 2) 4 comments

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[–] [email protected] 5 points 6 days ago

"performance"

[–] [email protected] 120 points 6 days ago (6 children)

This is like measuring the increasing speeds of cars in the early years and extrapolating that they would be supersonic by now by ignoring the exponential impact that air resistance has.

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[–] [email protected] 84 points 6 days ago (6 children)

*with 50 percent reliability.

Heck of an asterisk on this claim.

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[–] [email protected] 25 points 6 days ago (5 children)

I doubt it

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