this post was submitted on 10 Oct 2024

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A Crazier Path to 270: Can Harris Wrest Alaska Away From Trump? (www.bloomberg.com)

submitted 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago) by [email protected] to c/[email protected]

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Alaska has been moving more and more democratic over the past decade or so but has been largely under most people's radar

Democrats won Alaska's at large house seat in 2022. There was also recently a major flip in the Fairbanks Alaska borough earlier this week a democrat won the mayor race despite it voting R+15 in 2020. Though Alaska does split their vote more than other states

Polling is rather limited in Alaska which makes it harder to tell exactly how things are going on for the presidental race. Some put Harris within striking distance. It's possible for it to end up flipping this cycle or in the near future

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[–] [email protected] 8 points 1 month ago

I'm one Alaskan that will be voting Harris, but this state seems very likely to go Trump. Things are changing at the local level but we still have a lot of dumb fucks out in the middle of nowhere who wants to go back to the dark ages

[–] [email protected] 4 points 1 month ago (1 children)

Unlikely. Trump is up significantly in AK:

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/2024/alaska/

But even if Harris did manage to pull off a win, it's only 3 electoral college votes, and it's one of the last time zones to close for counting.

[–] [email protected] 2 points 1 month ago

Keep in mind that there have only been 3 polls in Alaska since Biden dropped out and one of those was a republican sponsored one

Yes it's more likely than not that Trump wins alaska, but data is limited. It's still a low but not a zero percent chance he doesn't. Regardless of this cycle, it keeps moving closer each election and certainly could be a competitive state in the future for president

[–] [email protected] 24 points 1 month ago (1 children)

I know it's unlikely, but I'd like to see Florida, Texas, and Alaska go blue, specifically to deprive Republicans of those stupid electoral maps they use to claim the country is mostly red. You know, the ones that don't account for population density.