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if the electoral college is close that's almost certainly a landslide for trump in the college.
For those who forgot polls don't mean shit and only voting matters:
But in reality it's closer to 80-20 it's just a shit ton of people don't vote.
Funny how the silent majority always agrees with the current speaker
Polls are for pundits.
Vote in November.
Swings in polls are notable, and there's reason to believe Trump's conviction hurt his approval among independents.
Will this last? Idk. Hillary was up by 10-pts in October and crashed to a dead-heat on election day. But it should be worth considering what current events have a positive or negative impact on a candidate's approval.
We can thank the "trumpland" FBI for that swing. I know it's a fan-fave to blame Hillary for that swing, but it's not like she told the FBI to open an "investigation" into Buttery Males, and not mention that donnie was under investigation when making that big splashy announcement about Hillary...
What does that information ultimately do for a citizen who is not in the field?
Assuming you're actively participating in GOTV, its useful to know what talking points engage people and what don't.
Assuming you've got some vested socio-economic interest in the winner of the next presidential race, it might inform personal financial or business decisions.
That’s fair.
Can we talk about how the graphic didn't sort the results in any kind of chronological order? Today, then October 2023, then May 2024 is an insane way to present this data. Go either oldest first or newest first sort order.
That sort of thing is pretty common for Fox.
Trump will be furious to find out.
Don’t care, voting Brandon. Fuck the republican traitor filth.
The Biden campaign has been running polls and focus groups for weeks, and the message has been clear: a felony conviction is a turn-off and a dealbreaker for some meaningful number of voters
In the moment, sure. We'll see how much people care about his conviction when its four months in the rear view mirror and "Hunter Biden Newest Dick Picks" bombard the latest media cycle.
But maybe - just maybe - the Dems will see prosecuting high ranking conservative crooks as a boon rather than a hazard as they run into the next election cycle. Maybe someone will have the bright idea to bring federal charges against Ken Paxton or Ron DeSantis or even Elon Musk.
Or maybe not. Maybe we'll just scratch Trump off as "Uniquely Prosecutable" and never do this again.
Polls don't predict the future. They are a photo of the time they were taken.
Polls illustrate popular sentiment in the moment and give a picture of changing ideological trends over time. This informs people about likely possible futures and assists in long-term decision making.
Yeah, but enough of a turn-off that they will actively vote for Biden when the time comes, and not just sit it out or cast a third party protest vote?
To me these polls were NOT important because of the swing to Biden. They were important due to the swing in important issues. To 68% of those surveyed the most important issue was "the Preservation of Democracy". This tells me that people are taking the totally insane Trump ranting seriously and all Biden really has to do is let Trump be Trump. Trump can't win losing independents.