this post was submitted on 02 Mar 2024
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Discussion of climate, how it is changing, activism around that, the politics, and the energy systems change we need in order to stabilize things.

As a starting point, the burning of fossil fuels, and to a lesser extent deforestation and release of methane are responsible for the warming in recent decades: Graph of temperature as observed with significant warming, and simulated without added greenhouse gases and other anthropogentic changes, which shows no significant warming

How much each change to the atmosphere has warmed the world: IPCC AR6 Figure 2 - Thee bar charts: first chart: how much each gas has warmed the world.  About 1C of total warming.  Second chart:  about 1.5C of total warming from well-mixed greenhouse gases, offset by 0.4C of cooling from aerosols and negligible influence from changes to solar output, volcanoes, and internal variability.  Third chart: about 1.25C of warming from CO2, 0.5C from methane, and a bunch more in small quantities from other gases.  About 0.5C of cooling with large error bars from SO2.

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Exxon’s own scientists foresaw these fossil fuel-driven anthropogenic changes about a half- century ago, but we’re still not ready for them, and neither are most of our fellow creatures. If I learned one thing from writing about wildfires, it is that this hotter, less stable world is not the “new normal.” We are entering clima incognita — the “unknown climate.” Here be dragons, and some of them are fires 20 miles wide.

My earnest advice is to listen to climate scientists, to meteorologists, to fire officials. They are trying to save your lives. And if you see fire on the horizon, don’t fixate on the flames, pay attention to the wind: If it’s blowing toward you, the embers are, too, and you better get ready to go.

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[–] [email protected] 4 points 6 months ago

What is happening in North America is not a regional aberration; it’s part of a global departure — what climate scientists call a phase shift. The past year has seen virtually every metric of planetary distress lurch into uncharted territory: sea surface temperature, air temperature, polar ice loss, fire intensity — you name it, it is off the charts. It was 72 degrees Fahrenheit in Wisconsin on Tuesday, and 110 degrees Fahrenheit in Paraguay; large portions of the North Pacific and the South Atlantic are running more than five degrees Fahrenheit above normal.

Thomas Smith, an environmental geographer at the London School of Economics, summed it up this way for the BBC in July, “I’m not aware of a similar period when all parts of the climate system were in record-breaking or abnormal territory.” And with these extremes comes lethality: More than 130 souls perished last month in wildfires outside Valparaiso, Chile — more than the number of dead in the Maui fire last August or the Paradise, Calif., fire in 2018 — making them the world’s deadliest since Australia’s Black Saturday fires in 2009.

Damn. That’s depressing.

[–] [email protected] 1 points 6 months ago

I'm cool with just letting that one burn.

[–] [email protected] 13 points 6 months ago (1 children)

My earnest advice is to listen to climate scientists, to meteorologists, to fire officials. They are trying to save your lives. And if you see fire on the horizon, don’t fixate on the flames, pay attention to the wind: If it’s blowing toward you, the embers are, too, and you better get ready to go.

I'm a retired volunteer firefighter on the prairies. Grass fires are no joke. They can move fast! They can move fast enough that the equipment literally cannot keep pace with the flame front. And all bets are off if it gets into a standing crop near harvest.

To make matters worse, the vast majority of research and training has been on forest fires.

[–] [email protected] 6 points 6 months ago

Thanks for volunteering to do that. It seems like y’all respond to just about any kind of emergency.

[–] [email protected] 16 points 6 months ago (2 children)

I'm actually quite curious to see how the whole conservative anti migrant/don't mess with Texas/protect our border/secede/states rights/fuck the feds/bravado attitude changes over time as the state becomes increasingly uninhabitable:

Will their propensity for being difficult people force them to continue defending the wasteland from Mexicans, or will they be too busy trying to displace other Americans in more habitable states?

[–] [email protected] 7 points 6 months ago

Probably just screaming into the void about “freedom” and “owning the libs” as they either freeze, burn, or drown while voting yet again to restrict the rights of women/LGBTQ/POC.

[–] [email protected] 3 points 6 months ago

My best guess is defending the wastelands.