this post was submitted on 20 May 2025
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22:10 - "The maternal mortality rate hovered around 8% per birth. This meant that the average woman giving birth at least 6 times throughout her life faced an accumulated 48% chance of death in order to fulfil the reproductive demands of the feudal household."
That's not how the math works. When you have a rate of decay that's iterated multiple times, you don't take the chance of decay and multiply it as a scalar. You take the remnant, and treat that as a base for an exponent. In this case, instead of 8% × 6 = 48% death (wrong), it's 0.92 ^ 6 = 60.6% survival.
This doesn't change the point being made- 39.4% lifetime maternal mortality is still horrifically oppressive- but I would hope whoever's carrying the banner on economics and a "scientific" approach to history would have good mastery of middle school math.
I found a YouTube link in your comment. Here are links to the same video on alternative frontends that protect your privacy: