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China has to be careful because they are an export driven economy and there's not a lot of wealthy customers out there. If they contribute to a serious recession in the US, it'll carry consequences in China too. The key for them will be retaliation that carries a big political hit but not an economic hit.
the US already bans lots of expensive Chinese products like cars or tech. and the US isn't as a strong market anyways.
they are big enough to influence the market, but definition not even close to dictate it.
the only ones who will suffer by American autarky are Americans
Or to dethrone the US as global currency for once and for all.
China will have to become a net importer for that to happen and that's very unlikely. The Euro has a better chance but I seriously think Trump would turn all of Europe over to Russia to stop that from happening.
Trump wants to devalue US currency. He sees US dollar supremacy as why the US is not competitive in the export market and part of the reason why manufacturing has left the country.
Most countries take the US dollars they make on exports and stockpile them in US treasuries which keeps the dollars value high relative to other currencies.
Essentially he sees the high value of the US dollar and trade deficit as bubbles that will eventually burst and collapse the US economy. Which is an issue he thinks he can fix/prevent with tariffs.
Russia can't even take Ukraine, the fantasy that Russia somehow is a military threat to Europe is laughable.
I'm pro-Europe but I also recognize that Europe is very dependent on the US for military technology and weapons. France is the only country that is resistant to the possibility of the US just turning everything off. European nations would do fine vs. Russia with American technology and weapons. I suspect that Russia could reconquer to Berlin if Europe was depraved of American military technology and weapons. Maybe I'm wrong, though.
Ok let's assume Russia takes europe - then what? You think Europeans going to happily sit under Ruzi dictatorship? What the fuck are you even talking about.
Then what? Then you get the 1950's - 1980's in eastern Europe all over again, including an obvious level of stagnation when compared to those on the other side of the iron curtain.
Lmao you think eastern Europeans will accept Russian rule? Even in 1940s with ww2 going on and under entire new brand and government method Ruzis could barely hold eastern European countries.
Now with internet and basically untraceable weapons of mass destruction you think ruskies can hold an independent country when they can barely hold their own together?
Absurd.
Georgians recently elected a very pro-Moscow political party. Belarus could revolt but doesn't. During Soviet rule, we had the example of the Hungarians whose little revolt was crushed quickly. They then fell back in line to Russian rule.
Maybe, I'm not a military expert by no means, but I fail to see the real advantage of the supposed american military technology when they lost every single war since ww2, often against supply starved adversary.
They win wars. They bore of occupations.