| Party | Seats | % | Change in Seats | Majority Probability | Minority Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liberal | 192 | 44.4% | +39 | 93.2% | 6.3% |
| Conservative | 118 | 37.8% | -1 | 0.1% | 4.1% |
| Bloc | 26 | 6.3% | -7 | 0% | 0% |
| New Democrat | 6 | 6.7% | -19 | N/A | N/A |
| Green | 1 | 1.4% | -1 | N/A | N/A |
| People's | 0 | 2.7% | -2.2% | N/A | N/A |
this post was submitted on 24 Mar 2025
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i am glad to see the drop in support of PP, but at the same time it is still scary that they are still polling 37% at this point.
how much bad things need to happen in order for Conservative voter to SEE it!! only -1 seat?? com'on. can we tell them that Trump is so gonna make fun of us with a PM called "PP"..
on the other hand, sad to see NDP is dropping.. i was hoping they will pull up too.. but man .. -19 is huge! I was really hoping NDP will pull up and pass Bloc at least..
let's hope the trend will get better in the coming 30 days or so.