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Is the next revolutionary wave near? (lemmygrad.ml)

submitted 5 days ago by [email protected] to c/[email protected]

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This question is probably asked once per month by a variety of people, although that is of course understandable.

One could say that the next revolutionary wave has already sort-of begun because of the revolutions in the Sahel. But what I'm talking about is something bigger than that. I am talking about a faster and broader takeover of nations by socialist and/or anti-imperialist movements.

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[–] [email protected] 0 points 4 days ago (1 children)

I'm heavily doubtful of China doing this at all. I'd imagine they'd see it as a breach of their non-interventionist policy, though if anyone has information that contradicts me then please tell me.

[–] [email protected] 0 points 4 days ago (1 children)

I'm not solid on this as a prediction but other than the war continuing for another few years I don't see many paths that are more realistic.

I really doubt the uaf hardliners will stop fighting of their own accord even if the government ordered it to. Russia isn't going to be able to be passive in the face of ongoing terrorist attacks coming out of Ukraine.

So peacekeepers are going to have to be deployed eventually. As much as the west might dislike it China is the only option for peacekeepers that Russia would agree to. The only other option is for Russia to occupy all of Ukraine until denazification is complete, which nobody wants.

If ever there was a time and place to move away from their non-interventionist stance I think a peace keeping force in Ukraine would be the spot.

[–] [email protected] 0 points 4 days ago* (last edited 4 days ago)

Russia would accept Indian peacekeepers. The west would find India more palatable and Russia has a long-standing relationship. India would also not mind showing up China which it sees as a rival power though I'm not sure that's enough reason for them to agree to something like this given the target it might paint on their back among Banderites and other Nazis.

Russia truthfully would probably also accept a coalition of peacekeepers made up of multiple countries under a narrow UN mandate which seems plausible as a possibility. Likely in that case it would be a basket of Chinese, Indian, European, etc.

edit And if you think EU liberals are freaking out now about imminent war with Russia, they would find it completely unacceptable to have Chinese troops in their war-path. The US also would find Chinese presence unacceptable due to rampant sinophobia. Trump would sooner I think try and ram through Russian troops to act as peacekeepers than allow a Chinese military presence near Europe. He and the US empire leadership are kicking them out of civilian port ownership deals everywhere they can.