this post was submitted on 29 Feb 2024
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The “uncommitted” vote in Michigan way outperformed expectations last night, reflecting Democratic unhappiness with Joe Biden’s support for Israel’s brutal war. He should change course on Gaza immediately.

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[–] [email protected] 1 points 8 months ago (1 children)

uncommitted barely got more of a percentage of the vote than they normally do. is it "political suicide" because they got more than 100k votes? for every vote uncommitted got, biden got 6. if 100,000 people voted in the primary and we had the same vote distribution, uncommitted would have 13,000 votes.

that's not political suicide. political suicide would be if uncommitted got enough of a threshold to win delegates from the statewide pool. as it ended up last night, they only pulled 2 delegates out of 117 on offer, those 2 coming from one congressional district.

people who are pushing that story are trying to sew democratic chaos and discontent when the democratic party is very much in array.

[–] [email protected] 4 points 8 months ago* (last edited 8 months ago)

Normal is 10-20k votes, so 100k a bit eye popping. Obama’s primary they went 208k uncommitted to support Obama (who was not on the ballot.), but normal is 20k give or take.

Also? That’s enough votes for him to lose Michigan if they simply don’t vote for Biden. And if they vote for Trump out of pure spite?

It’s a problem.

People can beat the “not voting Biden is a vote for Trump” drum; but to perfectly candid, that’s not going to change behavior…. Which is why Hillary lost in 16.