this post was submitted on 12 Nov 2024
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This is sloppy, but it's what I have time for atm:
From The Elements of Choice by Eric Johnson
It's more complicated than the one example, and he covers it further, but as a rough guideline, it looks like forced choice and opt out are similar in this case. Which would make sense because the opposition is mostly religious and strict religious people are more motivated to opt out.
Wow, good source. 82% donor rate for the opt-out group versus 79% for the forced-choice is a smaller difference than I would have guessed.
It's a decent book overall. If you're interested in the theory behind choice architecture it's worth a read.
But yeah, read it a couple months ago and remembered it specifically addressed this question.