this post was submitted on 05 Nov 2024
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[–] [email protected] 10 points 1 week ago (1 children)

Is that race close? I remember being optimistic before and getting dashed, so I haven't paid attention to that one this time around.

[–] [email protected] 21 points 1 week ago (2 children)

Yes, Collin Allred has apparently been hitting out of the park, way better and closer than the last D candidate to get close to unseating Ted Cruz

[–] [email protected] 9 points 1 week ago* (last edited 1 week ago) (2 children)

Cruz won over Beto at 2.6%, 538 is projecting Cruz at +4% over Allred. What am I missing?

[–] [email protected] 3 points 1 week ago

Can't really trust the polls, from what I've been reading they've been overcompensating for the "Trump R factor" not to mention all the shady Republicans polls that keep dumping trash data that are all "Oh yea it's gonna be a total Trump landslideee!!!! Trust me brooo!"

[–] [email protected] 8 points 1 week ago (2 children)

The Iowa poll is the key to this whole thing.

The Setzer poll tosses out what past elections use as a base for their calculations. She goes off what's happening now and it's an extremely reliable poll.

#VOTE!!

[–] [email protected] 4 points 1 week ago* (last edited 1 week ago)

Aged like milk. What a shame.

[–] [email protected] 8 points 1 week ago (1 children)

I'm going to ask this dumb question in the interest of learning: I understand and agree Setzer is solid at polling Iowa, but what does it have to do with the Texas Senate?

[–] [email protected] 6 points 1 week ago

Polls are going off old data, not taking in account the new voters, and the Republicans dropped 30 shitty right-wing polls that skewed the data.

[–] [email protected] 1 points 1 week ago

and unlike Beto, he didn't say Hell, yes, we’re going to take your AR-15, your AK-47