this post was submitted on 16 Oct 2024
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Everything I've read suggests that mosquitoes aren't a primary food source for anything, and that their absence would be relatively easily adusted for by those creatures that do eat them. Still, that's a hell of a dice roll.
Edit: And apparently that may be wrong anyway.
I can kill off mosquitoes and spiders in the same go? smashes that mosquito-nuke button so hard that it's shattered to dust
I have argued for the same caution every single time this came up on Reddit, because I know of a dozen examples in history where we fucked up something similar.
I got downvoted every single time, across several posts over the years, because obviously the hive mind believes things will be different this time! The thing that males me confident it'll fail is I've never seen, and nobody's ever provided, an example where this type of ecological engineering has actually succeeded for the better.
Do you count reintroducing wolves to Yellowstone to be the same type of ecological engineering? I haven't checked progress on that for a while but the last I heard, it was too early to say whether it was successful. I highlight Yellowstone because of how cautious the effort was (it took years of planning and analysis) and this caution feels like it's directly descended from the fuck ups of the past
The biggest reason it may be different this time is previously we were all like, "let's exterminate dogs," and it turns out dogs are important. This time is more like "let's exterminate pitbulls." There will still be plenty of mosquitos around if the plan is ever put into motion, we are only targeting a very small slice of them. That doesn't mean there won't be issues, it could well be just as big a mistake as all the previous times. But at least it is more likely to work out.