this post was submitted on 26 Aug 2024
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[–] [email protected] 0 points 2 months ago (2 children)

Not a sneer, but another cool piece from Baldur Bjarnason: The slow evaporation of the free/open source surplus.

Gonna skip straight to near the end, where Baldur lays out a potential apocalypse scenario for FOSS as we know it:

Best case scenario, seems to me, is that Free and Open Source Software enters a period of decline. After all, that’s generally what happens to complex systems with less investment. Worst case scenario is a vicious cycle leading to a collapse:

  1. Declining surplus and burnout leads to maintainers increasingly stepping back from their projects.

  2. Many of these projects either bitrot serious bugs or get taken over by malicious actors who are highly motivated because they can’t relay on pervasive memory bugs anymore for exploits.

  3. OSS increasingly gets a reputation (deserved or not) for being unsafe and unreliable.

  4. That decline in users leads to even more maintainers stepping back.

Linking this to a related sneer, another major problem that I can see befalling FOSS is earning a reputation as a Nazi bar. How high that risk is I'm not sure, but between the AI bubble shredding tech's public image and our very good friends increasingly catching the public's attention, I suspect those chances are pretty high.

[–] [email protected] 0 points 2 months ago

it's already got a rep as a grossly sexist bar, so

[–] [email protected] 0 points 2 months ago

I don't wish ill upon my fellow tech sector workers, but frankly a backlash on the tech industry is long overdue. People have been mad at big tech before and so far it (thankfully) hasn't led to cataclysmic shifts in free software.

I feel like the original Free Software ethos of software freedom as moral obligation first and economic convenience second (if at all) might be more resilient to these kinds of field-shaping challenges than the more business model oriented Open Source ideology. That said, I don't expect the ongoing AI crisis to re-separate F and OS by name in popular or even tech industry consciousness.