this post was submitted on 12 Jun 2024
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People are so insistent that it's ai that it all reminds me of Blockchain. It's new! It'll change everything!
It'll change some things. What we are seeing now is business forcing it into everything when really, right now, there are only a handful of things it makes sense to use.
It's really great at giving you a starting point a very rough outline of something. That is the easy part. The hard part is turning that into something new and coherent, and for that I think modern AI is nowhere close. That needs a human
It is by definition AI
In the sense that AI is an extremely general term that involves many different technologies, yes. Generative AI/LLMs are not true AGI, which is what people think it is. It cannot think, it cannot learn, it can only predict.
That's a distinction without a difference. If it can predict what a AGI would do in a given situation, then it is an AGI.
I'm not saying that it is an AGI, but the reason it it isn't is more than "it can only predict".
People think it AI intelligence is comparable to how a hovercraft hovers, as in the word is taken literally, but it is actually comparable to a Hoverboard.
That's actually pretty good... the techbro equivalent of "We did it!"
I think it's definitely a bubble that will burst eventually.
At the same time, I don't think there's any way to put the toothpaste back in the tube. This technology is out there, and even once the hype has died down, we're going to be dealing with it forever.