this post was submitted on 15 Apr 2024
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[–] [email protected] 16 points 7 months ago (4 children)

Biden is claiming that the U.S. will not join Israel in a retaliatory attack on Iran. We shall see if that holds true.

[–] [email protected] 4 points 7 months ago

He also said he does not support genocide. A conservative's words should never be trusted. Their actions are what matters.

[–] [email protected] 2 points 7 months ago

Something tells me not join simply means you only get US funding and weapons instead of funding, weapons, intillegence, and support vessels.

[–] [email protected] 11 points 7 months ago* (last edited 7 months ago) (3 children)

Symbolically, that is good. But practically, it does not really matter.

Israel and Iran are getting into a tit-for-tat. The problem is that they disagree on who is tit and who is tat. Iran (and the US, and every honest observer) thinks both sides got their strike in and considers the matter closed. Israel seems to think they are owed a strike. The problem is that if Israel takes another strike, Iran will feel that they need to take anotherone, at which point Israel will feel the need to take another one, ... . Unless one side is willing to let the other have the last attack, this ends in war.

For it to be meaningful, Biden would need to say "The US will not back you in a war with Iran if that comes as a result of this exchange"; but I can not imagine Biden doing that.

Israel's position in this matter is transparently farcicle. What seems to be happening here is:

  1. Israel attacked an Iranian embassy.
  2. Iran attacked Israel. Most of the attack was intercepted, and Israel suffered minimal damage.
  3. Iran says "you titted, I tatted. We cool now" You are here
  4. Israel says "Perhaps you misunderstood my previous act of war. Please find enclosed a second act of war"

...

  1. Israel and Iran are at war. The US gets dragged in. Netenyahu clings to power and avoids criminal prosecution on corruption charges for a little longer.
[–] [email protected] 1 points 7 months ago

Somehow Israel always seems to wind up in these sort of conflicts. Hmm.

[–] [email protected] 5 points 7 months ago

Unless somewhere down the line, the Israeli people find their backbone to toss Netanyahu out to the ocean. It's more likely to happen before a WW3. But nobody knows how many lives must be ruined before that point.

[–] [email protected] 5 points 7 months ago* (last edited 7 months ago)
  1. Iran sets off a nuclear device. Russia will join in Ukraine with "They did it first!" and we're all done for.

I'm really, really starting to hate Netanjahu. I'll admit, I was wrong at the beginning of this year, saying he does what he has to. Everything Israel has done after the first two weeks after the terrorist attack is utterly ridiculous.

[–] [email protected] 7 points 7 months ago (3 children)

Even if the US refuses to participate which I find doubtful, how much does that matter if the Israeli fighter pilots are US trained, using US equipment, aeronautics and dropping US made bombs on Iran?

I mean yes there is a difference but it just feels pedantic.

[–] [email protected] 2 points 7 months ago (1 children)

The US doesn’t want to pay for a war right now. I drive around freedom potholes and see freedom homeless everywhere because of the last wars.

[–] [email protected] 0 points 7 months ago (1 children)

Thinking the US doesn't want to pay for a war is the most idiotic thing I've ever read in my life.

[–] [email protected] 0 points 7 months ago

I didn’t say they don’t want to go to war, I said pay for one.

[–] [email protected] 4 points 7 months ago (1 children)

Last I checked, Israel has 0 Supercarriers, that would be the difference. Our bloated military budget has developed the largest military ever, and Israel would love to be able to use that against Iran rather than face Iran alone.

[–] [email protected] 1 points 7 months ago* (last edited 7 months ago)

Good news for them, I guess... If history is our guide, they can have as much as they want.

[–] [email protected] 4 points 7 months ago* (last edited 7 months ago) (2 children)

This is more related to defense but here goes.

It makes a lot of difference. Rockets cost a lot of money so they don't have unlimited numbers. The same is true for air defense systems. There's a finite number of rockets they can intercept at any given time. Hamas already discovered that limit for Iron Dome. Now think about the attack from Iran. It took rockets and jets with rockets from at least 3 militaries to stop all of them, and that was with days of warning to prepare. If Israel was fending them off alone, they wouldn't have stopped 99% of them. Now consider a 10000 rocket salvo.

[–] [email protected] 4 points 7 months ago* (last edited 7 months ago)

We have the numbers in what Iran says it spent, what Israel says it spent and what Israel said America spent.

35 million for Iran

Over a billion dollars for Israel

And, according to Israel, over a billion dollars for America.

The missile strike wasn't a failure. It was a huge success for Iran. The screening cruise missiles and drones were there to be destroyed so the khybar ballistic missiles with 1500kg payloads could hit their targets.

Iran notified America of when it was launching 72 hours before it did, and that is was only targeting military targets, thus limiting the potential target space that needed to be defended.

Iran spent 1/2000th of what America and Israel spent. There is no way to view that as a success for Israel, or a failure for Iran.

There is now a new calculus in the middle east where Israel will now face consequences when they attack other nations.

They are scared.

[–] [email protected] 4 points 7 months ago

5 militaries.

Israel, Jordan, US, UK, France