Technology

Where you needed 20 software engineers, you’ll need 10, then 5, then 1-2.

It's an open secret that this is already the case. I have seen projects that went on for decades and only required the engineering staff they had because corporate bureaucracy and risk aversion makes everyone a fraction as effective as they could be, and, frankly, because a lot of ineffective morons got into software development because of the $$$ they could make.

Unless AI somehow eliminates corporate overhead I don't understand how it'll possibly make commercial development monumentally easier.

Yeah people think AI is what sci-fi movies sold them. Hyper intelligent - hyper aware sentient beings capable of love or blah blah blah. We'll get there, but corps don't need that. In fact that's the part they don't want. They need a mindless drone to replace the 80% of their workers doing brainless jobs.

i didn't downvote you, regardless internet points don't matter.

you're not wrong, and i largely agree with what you've said, because i didn't actually say a lot of the things your comment assumes.

the most efficient way i can describe what i mean is this:

LLMs (this is NOT AI) can, and will, replace more and more of us. however, there will never, ever be a time where there will be no human overseeing it because we design software for humans (generally), not for machines. this requires integral human knowledge, assumptions, intuition, etc.