this post was submitted on 08 Oct 2024
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On 5 October 2024, a 4.5-magnitude seismic event occurred in Iran’s Semnan province, sparking speculation that Iran has tested a nuclear weapon for the first time.

Such a seismic event is typically the result of an earthquake, but speculation has arisen on social media suggesting the event was instead an underground nuclear test carried out by the Islamic Republic in response to Israeli threats to bomb Tehran’s nuclear energy and oil facilities.

According to Iranian sources speaking with The Cradle, the possibility that a nuclear test was indeed conducted is being discussed at high levels in Iran.

The speculation that Iran carried out a nuclear test comes just days after the Heritage Foundation, a right-wing think tank in the US, published a report stating that “Iran can produce nuclear weapons far more rapidly than expected.”

Published on 1 October, the report noted that in late April 2024, a senior Iranian lawmaker stated that there is only a “one-week gap from the issuance of the order to the first test” of a nuclear bomb.

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[–] [email protected] 4 points 1 month ago
[–] [email protected] 9 points 1 month ago

Earth quakes very often in Iran. Sounds like fearmongering and repeat of lies about Iraq.

[–] [email protected] 11 points 1 month ago (2 children)

From the comments, it seems likely this was not a nuclear test.

According to the US Geological Survey, the depth of the quake was at 10 km, which is too deep for an atomic test. https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/eventpage/us6000nwr9/executive

[–] [email protected] 7 points 1 month ago (1 children)

https://www.usgs.gov/faqs/why-do-so-many-earthquakes-occur-a-depth-10km

Don't know if it was a nuke or not, but the 10km bit isn't info one way or another.

[–] [email protected] 2 points 1 month ago

TIL, thank you!

[–] [email protected] 5 points 1 month ago (1 children)

Right. A seismographic event like an Earthquake has a distinct and detectable difference from a nuclear test we know this because in the 60's we had plenty of examples of the later to compare to.

[–] [email protected] 5 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago) (1 children)

IDK. I want it to be a earthquake, but off of what you said...

Edit: also, the article stated that for an accurate reading of the depth of an earthquake the station needs to be closer to earthquake than the earthquake is deep or else it just gets put down at 10k deep since that's the average. IDK about stations in Iran though

[–] [email protected] 4 points 1 month ago

Well I don't like that