Welp looks like they went ahead and did it. Happy Tuesday.
this post was submitted on 01 Oct 2024
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Well shit. Unless there has been another miracle interception, things are going to get a lot worse now.
:c
The IDF is saying no Israelis were wounded. I'm seeing reports of explosions in populated areas, but the people there would have had time to get to shelters. I'm hoping that this has been like the April attack, but I think we can't know with confidence until enough time has passed to see the full picture.
Are that the same people who found Saddam’s weapons of mass destruction?
Asking for a friend
The official warned that any direct attack on Israel by Iran “will carry severe consequences for Iran.”
Iran readying 'imminent' ballistic missile attack against Israel, U.S. official tells NBC News
Well, I was guessing from the statements Iran made that they weren't going to engage Israel directly, and I'd read several analyses saying Iran had stated that they weren't looking for a broader conflict, but maybe it's going to happen after all.
https://lemmy.today/pictrs/image/5a1aa6f3-259d-4204-814d-5536ca660b3f.jpeg
I think Iran was waiting for the US to cool off and leave so they could do a tit for tat.
If they go through now, it'll be the same thing but just way more expensive since they'd have to break through both the iron dome and the US running intercept protection.
How's the Iron Dome coverage? I imagine Iran isn't going to send very many missiles, but given it's going to be a few missiles from so far away, not a swarm of rockets from just over the border, is Iron Dome going to cover that flight profile?
Edit: yeah iron dome won't cover this, it's the Barak missiles I think. Not sure what their intercept rate is. And the US is deploying air support right now, though I haven't seen their exact destination or mission.
Modern air defense is layered, and latest generations are layered and networked.
Short, medium, and long range all have different kill methods/platforms, but may share radar and sensors suites, along with command and control systems.
The operator, system, or mixture of both, then decides which targets are threats, and which kill system to engage them with.
It will mostly be Patriot, David's Sling and Arrow according to the Wikipedia article on their defense systems.
I think Barak is mostly for Navy assets?
Ah, that's the article I needed, thanks.
US or some other NATO country will likely deploy fighter jets to try and intercept it before it even reaches the Iron Dome, like they did when Iran sent that drone strike a few months back. Iran knows all this and may decide to hit Israeli troops in Lebanon instead. What ends up happening is something we'll just have to wait and see.
They're saying ballistic missiles, not cruise missiles though. Those are too fast and too vertical to be intercepted with aircraft.
I did not know that. Thanks for clarifying. Would it be safe to assume an ant-ballistic missile/system would be used?
Yes, I imagine they'd use the Arrow 3, and the US Navy could probably help out with SM3s if they were instructed to intervene.
Guess we'll find out soon enough given what just happened. Thanks for the insight and the links though.