this post was submitted on 20 Feb 2025
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Summary

NASA has lowered the estimated risk of asteroid 2024 YR4 striking Earth in December 2032 to 1.5%, down from 3.1% a day earlier. The European Space Agency's (ESA) estimate stands at 1.38%.

The asteroid, 40-90 meters wide, could cause significant city-level destruction but not a global catastrophe.

The projected impact corridor spans the Pacific, South America, Africa, and South Asia.

NASA also estimates a 0.8% chance of the asteroid hitting the Moon.

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[–] [email protected] 14 points 2 days ago (2 children)

Reminder that the asteroid is only large enough to destroy a city and, even given the rare chance of it hitting Earth, in all likelihood would land in the ocean and cause no damage. It's not a doomsday asteroid

[–] [email protected] 17 points 2 days ago (2 children)

imagine if it falls and perfectly annihilates the trump administration though

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[–] [email protected] 11 points 2 days ago

Well, that's disappointing..

[–] [email protected] 1 points 2 days ago (7 children)

I feel like hitting the moon could fuck us up even worse long term, with effects on the ocean?

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[–] [email protected] 5 points 2 days ago

Damn. The bugs need to up their accuracy

[–] [email protected] 42 points 2 days ago (1 children)

What do we need to get this to %100?

[–] [email protected] 26 points 2 days ago (1 children)

It's probably made up of dense materials like iron. Let's pile all the earth's magnets at the White House!

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[–] [email protected] 18 points 2 days ago (2 children)

Keep looking, there's got to be something out there that can hit us!

[–] [email protected] 8 points 2 days ago* (last edited 2 days ago) (4 children)

I'm not sure if you saw the recent news but we have a possible new mummy curse, never give up hope

[–] [email protected] -3 points 2 days ago

I haven't seen that. That's a new one. Lets go!

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[–] [email protected] 6 points 2 days ago (1 children)

Giant Meteor for Earth President 2032!

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[–] [email protected] 10 points 2 days ago (1 children)
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[–] [email protected] 46 points 2 days ago (3 children)

So you're tell me there's a chance?

[–] [email protected] 2 points 2 days ago

Sure hope so!

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