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Genuine opinion: Who cares?
Who cares if what we enjoy is changing, at all. It's kinda like if you go to a bowling alley, to go bowling. Do you show up and decide to bowl if there's other people bowling or not? I'm gonna go bowling regardless, that's why I went to the bowling alley.
No and I want it to stay that way
The quality of discourse is better since a year a go by a lot. Some home brew drama too.
It feels lived in now. The active users engage more. Growth for social media comes in burst anyways.
Reddit needs to do something bad again. Tiktok enjoyer is not the target audience for apub protocol based social media.
I can be very critical of the fediverse, especially where I want it to do better, but I think stagnation isn't the right word I think 'maintaining' fits more. The fediverse isn't beholden to the grow or die model capitalist projects need and it remains a space that is unique enough to warrant people coming back here, or coming here for certain reasons or content or whatever. I think the model to hope for would be continue maintaining and being ready for when the next group of people get fed up enough to follow through and come here (fediverse in general)
Does it have to?
I would say yes, because as is the real niche communities dont have the size for larger discussions.
Mainstream communities e.g. about global news already have a decent size. And in many ways it doesn't make much of a qualitative difference if there are 500 or 10.000 predictable comments. But many smaller communities are still mostly propped up by a few power users providing the majority of content which is not ideal for many reasons.
Maybe a bit would be nice, but I don't want it to grow as big as Reddit got.
I mean it always will grow a little bit over time
One thing is that kbin/mbin/piefed/etc...etc... interact with lemmy all the time. Its getting a bit hazy if "lemmy" the platform is growing or if the entirety of the fediverse is growing and others are communicating with the software. We are now seeing quite a few accounts from all over the web interacting with lemmy communities. Is that a new "user" according to the stats? Or is that person a one off from mastodon?
What I a seeing is a general increase in discussion on the platform and increase in posts from all over the fediverse. Which is awesome!
So from what I've seen on Lemmy over the last year is that the quantity of posts and variety of topics feels like it's going up. I certainly enjoy engaging on here.
Will it stagnate? I'm not sure. It might be that the monthly user levels stabilise but thats not the same as stagnate. If people are engaged and enjoying their time then it has value.
My feeling is that Lemmy will slowly grow over time. I don't see it becoming a huge platform like Reddit anytime soon. Its feasible but it feels like for now it will remain niche.
But I also dont want to it suddenly become huge. I was on reddit for a long time and I saw it evolve from being something small and interesting to a behemoth and enshittification to make money. Small is sometimes better, and small or stable in no way means stagnation.
What we really need is for people to put up topic focused sites and promote them as their own thing, not jusy "lemmy". So many specific interests still have very active forums dedicated to them, populated by the kind of people who want to ask queations aboht and discuss the things they have interest or expertise in, but who aren't into things like Reddit.
The fediverse is perfect for places like that. Places where you can focus on your primary interest, but also look over the fence. But all anyone wants to do is put up general interest sites and whine about there being more than one "gaming" forum.
sh.it.heads: "We're number 5! We're number 5!"
(me. I'm probably the only one chanting at this fact)
You're server's #3 when it comes to monthly active users too!
Hexbear? Really?
It's very active, but also a lot older than many other instances.
This is just absolute number total posts and they're a shitposting heaven that existed for 4 years before the big reddit exodus. In monthly posts they're still in the top 10 iirc but not 2nd
after the grad and .ml, hexbear is the oldest lemmy instance it pre-dates federation by over 2 years
I think the premise is flawed. Most of us have been brought up in a world that preaches "if you're not growing, you're dying." That mindset is harmful in a whole host of ways. I have no idea if lemmy is growing or not, but it's quite possible, perhaps even preferable, for a service/site/mom-and-pop shop to be sustainable without unending growth.
Cancer grows continuously. Obviously we should model everything on that.
Correct. We don't have need to be growing. 40k mau are nothing to scoff at and is bigger than most other online forums who can feel very busy even with 1000. So long as we're getting as many users as we're losing, we're good. And the continuous enshittification of reddit will ensure there's always people looking for a new home.
I would prefer if it grew because so many communities are dead. It seems that only political and shitposting instances have constant activity.
For me it’s still not a real Reddit alternative. Which sucks because I’m permabanned from Reddit.
Lemmy is slowly accumulating mass - I’d really love it if we gained a number of strong niche communities, but didn’t turn into a reddit due to mass influx.
Make a new account ?
Doesnt work. They ban your ip, MAC address, email, everything. They even have a tool that flags people that may be doing ban evasion based on behavior and communities that are joined by said account. You could get around it but it’s way too much effort just to use reddit.
To add, a lot of sites that “Fade into obscurity” still have active communities, they’re just not mainstream anymore.